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Most Accurate Wall Street Analysts: Track Records Ranked

The top 1,000 Wall Street equity analysts ranked by their record: price‑target hit rate, returns after their calls and the number of ratings, from Exent’s 7‑year backtest.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 12, 20266 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Across 628,792 rated calls, the average analyst’s price target was reached 52.4% of the time: close to a coin flip.
A small group of analysts did much better, consistently, across hundreds of ratings.
Rankings weigh hit rate, returns and sample size, so a few lucky calls do not top the list.

In this article

The 100 highest‑ranked analysts
By research firm
All ranked analysts
How analysts are ranked

The 100 highest‑ranked analysts

Rank	Analyst	Firm	Sector	Stars	Hit rate
1	Asiya Merchant	Citi	Technology	5.0★	78.3%
2	C J Muse	Cantor Fitzgerald	Technology	5.0★	63.0%
3	Timothy Arcuri	UBS	Technology	5.0★	66.7%
4	Samik Chatterjee	J.P. Morgan	Technology	5.0★	64.7%
5	Atif Malik	Citi	Technology	5.0★	71.4%
6	Aaron Rakers	Wells Fargo	Technology	5.0★	64.6%
7	Michael Huttner	Berenberg Bank	Financials	5.0★	66.7%
8	Justin Jenkins	Raymond James	Energy	5.0★	39.2%
9	William Stein	Truist Financial	Technology	5.0★	63.3%
10	Michael Siperco	RBC Capital	Materials	5.0★	55.6%
11	Ruben Roy	Stifel Nicolaus	Technology	5.0★	74.6%
12	Harsh Kumar	BMO Capital	Technology	5.0★	69.1%
13	Vijay Rakesh	Mizuho Securities	Technology	5.0★	62.6%
14	Harlan Sur	J.P. Morgan	Technology	5.0★	59.5%
15	Alfredo Alonso Estudillo	Deutsche Bank	Financials	5.0★	—

1
Analyst
Asiya Merchant
Firm
Citi
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
78.3%
2
Analyst
C J Muse
Firm
Cantor Fitzgerald
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
63.0%
3
Analyst
Timothy Arcuri
Firm
UBS
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
66.7%
4
Analyst
Samik Chatterjee
Firm
J.P. Morgan
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
64.7%
5
Analyst
Atif Malik
Firm
Citi
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
71.4%
6
Analyst
Aaron Rakers
Firm
Wells Fargo
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
64.6%
7
Analyst
Michael Huttner
Firm
Berenberg Bank
Sector
Financials
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
66.7%
8
Analyst
Justin Jenkins
Firm
Raymond James
Sector
Energy
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
39.2%
9
Analyst
William Stein
Firm
Truist Financial
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
63.3%
10
Analyst
Michael Siperco
Firm
RBC Capital
Sector
Materials
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
55.6%
11
Analyst
Ruben Roy
Firm
Stifel Nicolaus
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
74.6%
12
Analyst
Harsh Kumar
Firm
BMO Capital
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
69.1%
13
Analyst
Vijay Rakesh
Firm
Mizuho Securities
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
62.6%
14
Analyst
Harlan Sur
Firm
J.P. Morgan
Sector
Technology
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
59.5%
15
Analyst
Alfredo Alonso Estudillo
Firm
Deutsche Bank
Sector
Financials
Stars
5.0★
Hit rate
—

By research firm

Firm	Ranked analysts	4★ or higher	Median hit rate
RBC Capital	44	44	54.9%
J.P. Morgan	39	37	60.9%
Citi	38	38	61.9%

All ranked analysts

How analysts are ranked

Every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback is replayed: was the target reached, how fast, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months later. Rankings combine success rate, average return and number of ratings. Recent calls appear on each profile with a delay; live calls are in Exent Stocks Radar. See also how accurate are analyst price targets?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Frequently asked questions

In Exent's ranking as of Sep 30, 2026, the top-ranked analyst is Asiya Merchant of Citi, with a 78.3% price-target hit rate over a 7-year lookback. Rankings change as new ratings resolve.

Across 628,792 ratings in Exent's 7-year backtest, 52.4% of price targets were reached, after a median of 91 days.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.