AnalystsInsight

Chris Caso (Wolfe Research): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Chris Caso’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 782 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 17, 2026Updated Oct 18, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Chris Caso ranks #85 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
57.3% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 105 days; 72.6% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: MU, NVDA, INTC, AMD.

In this article

Chris Caso’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Chris Caso covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Chris Caso’s track record at a glance

Chris Caso of Wolfe Research ranks #85 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 57.3% of Chris’s price targets were reached, 4.9 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Chris Caso	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	57.3%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	105 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	72.6%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+24.3%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	79.5%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−18.0%	—
Ratings in the sample	782	—
Stocks covered	25	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Chris Caso
Under 30 days	20.1%
30–90 days	22.7%
90–180 days	29.9%
Over 180 days	27.3%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Chris Caso covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
MU	61
NVDA	60
INTC	42
AMD	24
MRVL	23
AVGO	18
QCOM	18
NXPI	17

In the past year Chris’s ratings were 94% Buy, 6% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Aug 4, 2026	SKHY	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$200.00
Jun 11, 2026	MU	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$1250.00
Jun 11, 2026	MU	Reiterated	Buy	$1250.00
Jun 11, 2026	MU	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1250.00
Jun 2, 2026	NVDA	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$275.00
Jun 2, 2026	NVDA	Maintained	Buy	$275.00
Jun 2, 2026	NVDA	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$275.00
May 15, 2026	AMAT	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$550.00
May 15, 2026	AMAT	Maintained	Buy	$550.00
May 15, 2026	AMAT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$550.00
Apr 29, 2026	NXPI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$320.00
Apr 29, 2026	NXPI	Maintained	Buy	$320.00

Aug 4, 2026
Stock
SKHY
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$200.00
Jun 11, 2026
Stock
MU
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1250.00
Jun 11, 2026
Stock
MU
Action
Reiterated
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1250.00
Jun 11, 2026
Stock
MU
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1250.00
Jun 2, 2026
Stock
NVDA
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$275.00
Jun 2, 2026
Stock
NVDA
Action
Maintained
Rating
Buy
Price target
$275.00
Jun 2, 2026
Stock
NVDA
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$275.00
May 15, 2026
Stock
AMAT
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$550.00
May 15, 2026
Stock
AMAT
Action
Maintained
Rating
Buy
Price target
$550.00
May 15, 2026
Stock
AMAT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$550.00
Apr 29, 2026
Stock
NXPI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$320.00
Apr 29, 2026
Stock
NXPI
Action
Maintained
Rating
Buy
Price target
$320.00

Live ratings from Chris Caso and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 18, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Stocks Radar shows Chris Caso’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Chris Caso ranks #85 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 57.3% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 72.6% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Chris Caso’s success rate is 63.1% by the ranking source and 57.3% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 105 days to reach a target.

Chris Caso (Wolfe Research) covers 25 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are MU, NVDA, INTC, AMD, MRVL.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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