AnalystsInsight

Tim Savageaux (Northland Securities): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Tim Savageaux’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,040 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 16, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Tim Savageaux ranks #65 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
61.6% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 74 days; 65.5% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: LITE, AXTI, FN, NOK.

In this article

Tim Savageaux’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Tim Savageaux covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Tim Savageaux’s track record at a glance

Tim Savageaux of Northland Securities ranks #65 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 61.6% of Tim’s price targets were reached, 9.2 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Tim Savageaux	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	61.6%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	74 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	65.5%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+21.7%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	68.3%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−22.5%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,040	—
Stocks covered	34	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Tim Savageaux
Under 30 days	26.9%
30–90 days	31.0%
90–180 days	24.4%
Over 180 days	17.7%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Tim Savageaux covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
LITE	30
AXTI	26
FN	24
NOK	24
VIAV	23
COHR	22
AAOI	22
ADTN	21

In the past year Tim’s ratings were 88% Buy, 13% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 16, 2026	HLIT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$17.00
Sep 4, 2026	CIEN	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$500.00
Aug 28, 2026	AVNW	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$30.00
Aug 19, 2026	CIEN	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$500.00
Aug 18, 2026	FN	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$800.00
Aug 13, 2026	COHR	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$280.00
Aug 13, 2026	HLIT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$17.00
Aug 10, 2026	GDYN	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$12.00
Aug 10, 2026	AIRG	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$8.50
Aug 7, 2026	MTSI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$450.00
Aug 7, 2026	VISN	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$17.00
Aug 7, 2026	AAOI	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$120.00

Sep 16, 2026
Stock
HLIT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$17.00
Sep 4, 2026
Stock
CIEN
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$500.00
Aug 28, 2026
Stock
AVNW
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$30.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
CIEN
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$500.00
Aug 18, 2026
Stock
FN
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$800.00
Aug 13, 2026
Stock
COHR
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$280.00
Aug 13, 2026
Stock
HLIT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$17.00
Aug 10, 2026
Stock
GDYN
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$12.00
Aug 10, 2026
Stock
AIRG
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$8.50
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
MTSI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$450.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
VISN
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$17.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
AAOI
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$120.00

Live ratings from Tim Savageaux and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 16, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Stocks Radar shows Tim Savageaux’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Tim Savageaux ranks #65 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 61.6% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 65.5% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Tim Savageaux’s success rate is 58.8% by the ranking source and 61.6% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 74 days to reach a target.

Tim Savageaux (Northland Securities) covers 34 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are LITE, AXTI, FN, NOK, VIAV.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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