AnalystsInsight

John Difucci (Guggenheim): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often John Difucci’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 773 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Published Updated 3 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+2 new ratings (CRM, ORCL)40.5% price‑target hit rate (was 40.8%)

Key takeaways

  • John Difucci ranks #184 of 1,121 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.9★).
  • 40.5% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.6% for the average analyst.
  • Median time to reach a target: 120 days; 66.6% of calls were up 12 months later.
  • Most‑covered stocks: ORCL, WDAY, RBRK, MSFT.
  • John published 4 ratings in the last 30 days, the latest on Oct 19, 2026.

Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →

John Difucci’s track record at a glance

John Difucci of Guggenheim ranks #184 of the 1,121 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.9★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 40.5% of John’s price targets were reached, 13.1 points below the 53.6% average across all analysts.

MetricJohn DifucciAll analysts
Price‑target hit rate40.5%53.6%
Median days to hit target120 days91 days
Calls up after 12 months66.6%64.6%
Median 12‑month return of calls+19.8%+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years36.7%—
Average worst drop after a call−22.7%—
Ratings in the sample773—
Stocks covered24—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the targetJohn Difucci
Under 30 days21.1%
30–90 days22.9%
90–180 days15.1%
Over 180 days41.0%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks John Difucci covers most

StockRatings in the sample
ORCL47
WDAY33
RBRK32
MSFT27
NOW27
CRM25
S25
NET22

In the past year John’s ratings were 67% Buy, 26% Hold and 6% Sell.

Exent’s top 50 analysts

Across 921,573 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.6% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 15.6% of the 917 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Oct 20, 2026).

Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.

John Difucci’s latest ratings

DateStockActionRatingPrice target
Oct 19, 2026????????????
Oct 7, 2026????????????
Sep 25, 2026????????????
Sep 24, 2026????????????
Sep 17, 2026CRMReiterated: BuyBuy$300.00
Sep 14, 2026ORCLReiterated: BuyBuy$400.00
Sep 4, 2026ZSReiterated: BuyBuy$214.00
Sep 2, 2026PANWReiterated: HoldHold$0.00
Aug 28, 2026RBRKReiterated: BuyBuy$116.00
Aug 28, 2026SReiterated: BuyBuy$28.00
Aug 28, 2026WDAYReiterated: BuyBuy$275.00
Aug 27, 2026CRWDReiterated: HoldHold$0.00
Aug 27, 2026CRMRated: BuyBuy$270.00
Aug 27, 2026OKTARated: BuyBuy$188.00
Aug 23, 2026SNOWReiterated: HoldHold$0.00
Aug 23, 2026ZSReiterated: BuyBuy$214.00
  • Oct 19, 2026
    Stock
    ???
    Action
    ???
    Rating
    ???
    Price target
    ???
  • Oct 7, 2026
    Stock
    ???
    Action
    ???
    Rating
    ???
    Price target
    ???
  • Sep 25, 2026
    Stock
    ???
    Action
    ???
    Rating
    ???
    Price target
    ???
  • Sep 24, 2026
    Stock
    ???
    Action
    ???
    Rating
    ???
    Price target
    ???
  • Sep 17, 2026
    Stock
    CRM
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $300.00
  • Sep 14, 2026
    Stock
    ORCL
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $400.00
  • Sep 4, 2026
    Stock
    ZS
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $214.00
  • Sep 2, 2026
    Stock
    PANW
    Action
    Reiterated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $0.00
  • Aug 28, 2026
    Stock
    RBRK
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $116.00
  • Aug 28, 2026
    Stock
    S
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $28.00
  • Aug 28, 2026
    Stock
    WDAY
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $275.00
  • Aug 27, 2026
    Stock
    CRWD
    Action
    Reiterated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $0.00
  • Aug 27, 2026
    Stock
    CRM
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $270.00
  • Aug 27, 2026
    Stock
    OKTA
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $188.00
  • Aug 23, 2026
    Stock
    SNOW
    Action
    Reiterated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $0.00
  • Aug 23, 2026
    Stock
    ZS
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $214.00

John published 4 ratings in the last 30 days, the latest on Oct 19, 2026. Ratings from the last 30 days are members‑only in Exent Gems, with the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree; older ratings are shown in full.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 22, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

  1. Exent Gems shows John Difucci’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
  2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
  3. Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring John Difucci ranks #184 of 1,121 with a 4.9★ rating. 40.5% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.6%), and 66.6% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

John Difucci’s success rate is 63.3% by the ranking source and 40.5% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 120 days to reach a target.

John Difucci (Guggenheim) covers 24 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are ORCL, WDAY, RBRK, MSFT, NOW.

Get the picks Wall Street’s best analysts agree on.

Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.

See this week’s GemsLimited offer$1.95 for full access· full access

Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.