AnalystsInsight

John Gibson CFA (BMO Capital): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often John Gibson CFA’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 0 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Published Updated 3 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

  • John Gibson CFA ranks #80 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
  • — of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
  • Median time to reach a target: — days; — of calls were up 12 months later.
  • Most‑covered stocks: TSX-NOA, TSX-BDT, TSX-EFX, TSX-SPB.

John Gibson CFA’s track record at a glance

John Gibson CFA of BMO Capital ranks #80 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on energy. Over a 7‑year lookback, — of John’s price targets were reached, the 52.4% average across all analysts.

MetricJohn Gibson CFAAll analysts
Price‑target hit rate—52.4%
Median days to hit target—91 days
Calls up after 12 months—64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls—+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years——
Average worst drop after a call——
Ratings in the sample0—
Stocks covered24—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the targetJohn Gibson CFA
Under 30 days—
30–90 days—
90–180 days—
Over 180 days—

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks John Gibson CFA covers most

StockRatings in the sample
TSX-NOA30
TSX-BDT26
TSX-EFX25
TSX-SPB24
TSX-BDI23
TSX-SES21
TSX-MATR21
TSX-NFI21

In the past year John’s ratings were 63% Buy, 37% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

DateStockActionRatingPrice target
Sep 1, 2026TSX-SESRated: HoldHold$0.00
Aug 13, 2026TSX-NOAReiterated: HoldHold$24.00
Aug 13, 2026TSX-TVKReiterated: BuyBuy$170.00
Aug 13, 2026TSX-NOAMaintained: HoldHold$24.00
Aug 12, 2026TSX-MATRMaintained: BuyBuy$24.00
Aug 12, 2026TSX-BDTReiterated: BuyBuy$85.00
Aug 12, 2026TSX-MATRReiterated: BuyBuy$24.00
Aug 7, 2026TSX-CEUMaintained: BuyBuy$23.00
Aug 7, 2026TSX-SPBReiterated: HoldHold$8.50
Aug 7, 2026TSX-NFIReiterated: BuyBuy$32.00
Aug 7, 2026TSX-CEUReiterated: BuyBuy$23.00
Aug 7, 2026TSX-NFIMaintained: BuyBuy$32.00
  • Sep 1, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-SES
    Action
    Rated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $0.00
  • Aug 13, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-NOA
    Action
    Reiterated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $24.00
  • Aug 13, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-TVK
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $170.00
  • Aug 13, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-NOA
    Action
    Maintained: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $24.00
  • Aug 12, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-MATR
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $24.00
  • Aug 12, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-BDT
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $85.00
  • Aug 12, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-MATR
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $24.00
  • Aug 7, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-CEU
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $23.00
  • Aug 7, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-SPB
    Action
    Reiterated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $8.50
  • Aug 7, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-NFI
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $32.00
  • Aug 7, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-CEU
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $23.00
  • Aug 7, 2026
    Stock
    TSX-NFI
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $32.00

Live ratings from John Gibson CFA and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 17, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring John Gibson CFA ranks #80 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. — of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and — of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

John Gibson CFA’s success rate is 66.9% by the ranking source and — by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of — days to reach a target.

John Gibson CFA (BMO Capital) covers 24 stocks, mostly in energy. The most frequently rated are TSX-NOA, TSX-BDT, TSX-EFX, TSX-SPB, TSX-BDI.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.