Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 958,671 analyst ratings.
AnalystsInsight
Mizuho Securities Analysts: Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy
How accurate Mizuho Securities’s equity analysts have been: their median price‑target hit rate and how their calls did a year later, from Exent’s 7‑year backtest.
Key takeaways
- 16 Mizuho Securities analysts are in Exent’s ranking of the top 1,148.
- Their median price‑target hit rate is 52.5% (all analysts: 53.1%).
- A median 63.3% of their calls were up 12 months later.
- Main sectors covered: Healthcare, Technology, Energy, Consumer Discretionary.
Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →
How accurate are Mizuho Securities analysts?
| Median across the firm’s analysts | Mizuho Securities | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | 52.5% | 53.1% |
| Calls up after 12 months | 63.3% | 64.4% |
Mizuho Securities’s top‑ranked analysts
| Analyst | Stars | Hit rate | Calls up after 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|
| ??? | 5.0★ | 61.3% | 65.5% |
| ??? | 5.0★ | 44.5% | 87.7% |
| ??? | 4.9★ | 56.6% | 57.4% |
| ??? | 4.9★ | 55.6% | 62.4% |
| ??? | 4.9★ | 50.8% | 58.5% |
Who Mizuho Securities’s highest‑ranked analysts are, and what they are rating now, is in Exent Gems: the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree.
Exent’s top 50 analysts
Across 958,671 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.1% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 14.9% of the 942 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Nov 2, 2026).
Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.
How this is measured
Firm figures are medians across the firm’s analysts in Exent’s ranking, so one star analyst does not carry the whole firm. Each analyst’s record is a 7‑year replay of their rated price targets. See the analyst rankings.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Frequently asked questions
Across 16 Mizuho Securities analysts in Exent’s ranking, the median price-target hit rate was 52.5% over a 7-year lookback, against 53.1% for all analysts.
Exent ranks 16 Mizuho Securities analysts by their 7-year record. The names and live calls of the top-ranked ones are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar).
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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.