AnalystsInsight

Jim Kelleher (Argus Research): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Jim Kelleher’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 627 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 13, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Jim Kelleher ranks #28 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
58.7% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 92 days; 67.1% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: NVDA, ASML, DELL, WDC.

In this article

Jim Kelleher’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Jim Kelleher covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Jim Kelleher’s track record at a glance

Jim Kelleher of Argus Research ranks #28 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 58.7% of Jim’s price targets were reached, 6.3 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Jim Kelleher	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	58.7%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	92 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	67.1%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+18.7%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	69.5%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−19.8%	—
Ratings in the sample	627	—
Stocks covered	66	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Jim Kelleher
Under 30 days	16.0%
30–90 days	33.0%
90–180 days	26.1%
Over 180 days	24.8%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Jim Kelleher covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
NVDA	26
ASML	15
DELL	14
WDC	14
NTAP	13
AAPL	13
KLAC	12
GLW	12

In the past year Jim’s ratings were 91% Buy, 9% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 11, 2026	NTAP	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$225.00
Sep 10, 2026	CIEN	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$550.00
Sep 4, 2026	HPE	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$70.00
Aug 27, 2026	HPQ	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$34.00
Aug 20, 2026	ADI	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$0.00
Aug 17, 2026	AMAT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$600.00
Aug 13, 2026	CSCO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$150.00
Aug 12, 2026	SMCI	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Aug 12, 2026	CRWV	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$150.00
Aug 11, 2026	VIAV	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$66.00
Aug 7, 2026	SNDK	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$1600.00
Aug 6, 2026	VSH	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$48.00

Sep 11, 2026
Stock
NTAP
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$225.00
Sep 10, 2026
Stock
CIEN
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$550.00
Sep 4, 2026
Stock
HPE
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$70.00
Aug 27, 2026
Stock
HPQ
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$34.00
Aug 20, 2026
Stock
ADI
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00
Aug 17, 2026
Stock
AMAT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$600.00
Aug 13, 2026
Stock
CSCO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$150.00
Aug 12, 2026
Stock
SMCI
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Aug 12, 2026
Stock
CRWV
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$150.00
Aug 11, 2026
Stock
VIAV
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$66.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
SNDK
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1600.00
Aug 6, 2026
Stock
VSH
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$48.00

Live ratings from Jim Kelleher and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 13, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Stocks Radar shows Jim Kelleher’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Jim Kelleher ranks #28 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 58.7% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 67.1% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Jim Kelleher’s success rate is 71.7% by the ranking source and 58.7% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 92 days to reach a target.

Jim Kelleher (Argus Research) covers 66 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are NVDA, ASML, DELL, WDC, NTAP.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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