Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
How often Bill Papanastasiou’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 173 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.
Bill Papanastasiou of Chardan Capital ranks #94 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 79.9% of Bill’s price targets were reached, 27.5 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.
| Metric | Bill Papanastasiou | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | 79.9% | 52.4% |
| Median days to hit target | 154 days | 91 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | 81.7% | 64.0% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +69.4% | +13.4% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | 77.4% | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | −38.2% | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 173 | — |
| Stocks covered | 19 | — |
| Time to reach the target | Bill Papanastasiou |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | 15.5% |
| 30–90 days | 18.7% |
| 90–180 days | 21.1% |
| Over 180 days | 44.7% |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
| Stock | Ratings in the sample |
|---|---|
| WULF | 45 |
| TSX-HIVE | 44 |
| GLXY | 43 |
| CIFR | 29 |
| RIOT | 26 |
| TSX-KEEL | 26 |
| KEEL | 20 |
| HUT | 20 |
In the past year Bill’s ratings were 100% Buy, 0% Hold and 0% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | MOVE | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $18.75 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | QMLS | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $24.50 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | TSX-HIVE | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $10.45 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | CIFR | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $32.00 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | WULF | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $32.00 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | GLXY | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $35.00 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | KEEL | Initiated Coverage: Buy | — | $4.50 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RIOT | Initiated Coverage | Buy | $27.50 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | TSX-KEEL | Initiated Coverage | Buy | $6.27 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | GLXY | Initiated Coverage | Buy | $35.00 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | TSX-KEEL | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $6.29 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RIOT | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $27.50 |
Live ratings from Bill Papanastasiou and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 18, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring Bill Papanastasiou ranks #94 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 79.9% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 81.7% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Bill Papanastasiou’s success rate is 66.7% by the ranking source and 79.9% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 154 days to reach a target.
Bill Papanastasiou (Chardan Capital) covers 19 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are WULF, TSX-HIVE, GLXY, CIFR, RIOT.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.