Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
How often Gautam Khanna’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,665 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.
Gautam Khanna of TD Cowen ranks #128 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on industrials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 66.9% of Gautam’s price targets were reached, 14.5 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.
| Metric | Gautam Khanna | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | 66.9% | 52.4% |
| Median days to hit target | 85 days | 91 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | 73.5% | 64.0% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +19.3% | +13.4% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | 73.8% | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | −16.7% | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 1,665 | — |
| Stocks covered | 39 | — |
| Time to reach the target | Gautam Khanna |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | 25.2% |
| 30–90 days | 27.6% |
| 90–180 days | 30.7% |
| Over 180 days | 16.6% |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
In the past year Gautam’s ratings were 65% Buy, 35% Hold and 0% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | LDOS | Rated: Hold | Hold | $135.00 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | SAIC | Rated: Hold | Hold | $140.00 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | NOC | Rated: Hold | Hold | $590.00 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | MRLN | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $8.00 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | MRLN | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $8.00 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | ATRO | Rated: Buy | Buy | $100.00 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | RKLB | Rated: Buy | Buy | $120.00 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VOYG | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $42.00 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VOYG | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $42.00 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | LDOS | Rated: Hold | Hold | $135.00 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | HWM | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $320.00 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | HWM | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $320.00 |
Live ratings from Gautam Khanna and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring Gautam Khanna ranks #128 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 66.9% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 73.5% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Gautam Khanna’s success rate is 66.9% by the ranking source and 66.9% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 85 days to reach a target.
Gautam Khanna (TD Cowen) covers 39 stocks, mostly in industrials. The most frequently rated are HXL, BAH, GE, HII, TXT.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.