AnalystsInsight

Patrick Brown (Raymond James): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Patrick Brown’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 907 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 20, 2026Updated Oct 20, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Patrick Brown ranks #126 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
57.3% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 119 days; 73.0% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: UNP, MLM, JBHT, WM.

In this article

Patrick Brown’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Patrick Brown covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Patrick Brown’s track record at a glance

Patrick Brown of Raymond James ranks #126 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on industrials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 57.3% of Patrick’s price targets were reached, 4.9 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Patrick Brown	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	57.3%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	119 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	73.0%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+14.8%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	57.8%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−14.0%	—
Ratings in the sample	907	—
Stocks covered	31	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Patrick Brown
Under 30 days	13.7%
30–90 days	24.9%
90–180 days	28.8%
Over 180 days	32.6%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Patrick Brown covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
UNP	30
MLM	26
JBHT	25
WM	25
CSX	24
ODFL	23
FDX	23
CWST	22

In the past year Patrick’s ratings were 100% Buy, 0% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 17, 2026	HUBG	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$40.00
Sep 17, 2026	JBHT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$300.00
Aug 19, 2026	FDXF	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$0.00
Jul 31, 2026	SAIA	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$457.00
Jul 31, 2026	MLM	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$660.00
Jul 31, 2026	MLM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$660.00
Jul 31, 2026	SAIA	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$457.00
Jul 16, 2026	JBHT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$315.00
Jul 16, 2026	JBHT	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$315.00
Jul 15, 2026	ROAD	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$150.00
Jul 15, 2026	VMC	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$320.00
Jul 15, 2026	MLM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$675.00

Sep 17, 2026
Stock
HUBG
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$40.00
Sep 17, 2026
Stock
JBHT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$300.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
FDXF
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00
Jul 31, 2026
Stock
SAIA
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$457.00
Jul 31, 2026
Stock
MLM
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$660.00
Jul 31, 2026
Stock
MLM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$660.00
Jul 31, 2026
Stock
SAIA
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$457.00
Jul 16, 2026
Stock
JBHT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$315.00
Jul 16, 2026
Stock
JBHT
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$315.00
Jul 15, 2026
Stock
ROAD
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$150.00
Jul 15, 2026
Stock
VMC
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$320.00
Jul 15, 2026
Stock
MLM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$675.00

Live ratings from Patrick Brown and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Stocks Radar shows Patrick Brown’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Patrick Brown ranks #126 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 57.3% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 73.0% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Patrick Brown’s success rate is 67.1% by the ranking source and 57.3% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 119 days to reach a target.

Patrick Brown (Raymond James) covers 31 stocks, mostly in industrials. The most frequently rated are UNP, MLM, JBHT, WM, CSX.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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