AnalystsInsight

Melissa Fairbanks (Raymond James): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Melissa Fairbanks’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 291 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 24, 2026Updated Nov 9, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Nov 2

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

#424 rank (was #282)+4 new ratings (MCHP, ARW, LSCC)4.8★ rating (was 4.9★)63.6% price‑target hit rate (was 64.6%)

Key takeaways

Melissa Fairbanks ranks #424 of 1,181 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.8★).
63.6% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.1% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 81 days; 82.6% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: JBL, MPWR, MCHP, NXPI.
Free on Exent: Melissa Fairbanks’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →

In this article

Melissa Fairbanks’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Melissa Fairbanks covers most
Exent’s top 50 analysts
Melissa Fairbanks’s latest ratings
More analysts to compare
How Exent scores analysts

Melissa Fairbanks’s track record at a glance

Melissa Fairbanks of Raymond James ranks #424 of the 1,181 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.8★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 63.6% of Melissa’s price targets were reached, 10.5 points above the 53.1% average across all analysts.

Metric	Melissa Fairbanks	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	63.6%	53.1%
Median days to hit target	81 days	93 days
Calls up after 12 months	82.6%	64.4%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+19.9%	+13.5%
Hit rate, last 2 years	79.2%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−17.1%	—
Ratings in the sample	291	—
Stocks covered	26	—

The full records of Exent’s top 50 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Melissa Fairbanks
Under 30 days	32.9%
30–90 days	22.6%
90–180 days	23.8%
Over 180 days	20.7%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Melissa Fairbanks covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
JBL	32
MPWR	26
MCHP	23
NXPI	23
ARW	21
MU	16
AAPL	15
SITM	15

In the past year Melissa’s ratings were 88% Buy, 12% Hold and 0% Sell.

Exent’s top 50 analysts

Across 983,543 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.1% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 14.3% of the 965 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Nov 9, 2026).

Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.

Unlock the top 50 analysts

Melissa Fairbanks’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Nov 6, 2026	MCHP	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$80.00
Nov 5, 2026	ARW	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$220.00
Nov 3, 2026	LSCC	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$140.00
Oct 27, 2026	MTSI	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$300.00
Aug 7, 2026	ARW	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$250.00
Aug 4, 2026	VSH	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$40.00
Jul 30, 2026	AAPL	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	—
Jul 29, 2026	FLEX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$170.00
Jun 25, 2026	MU	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1500.00
Jun 18, 2026	JBL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$450.00

Nov 6, 2026
Stock
MCHP
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$80.00
Nov 5, 2026
Stock
ARW
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$220.00
Nov 3, 2026
Stock
LSCC
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$140.00
Oct 27, 2026
Stock
MTSI
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$300.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
ARW
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$250.00
Aug 4, 2026
Stock
VSH
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$40.00
Jul 30, 2026
Stock
AAPL
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
—
Jul 29, 2026
Stock
FLEX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$170.00
Jun 25, 2026
Stock
MU
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1500.00
Jun 18, 2026
Stock
JBL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$450.00

Melissa’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

More analysts to compare

Also at Raymond James: Timothy Thein · Josh Beck · John Ransom · Daniel Tamayo · Steve Moss · Jayson Bedford

Also covering technology: Karl Keirstead · Keith Weiss · Jacob Stephan · Paul Chew · Gregg Moskowitz · Jim Hin Kwong Au

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Nov 9, 2026; ranking updated Nov 11, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Gems shows live ratings from the top‑ranked analysts, without the 3‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

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Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Melissa Fairbanks ranks #424 of 1,181 with a 4.8★ rating. 63.6% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.1%), and 82.6% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

In Exent’s 7-year price-target backtest, 63.6% of Melissa Fairbanks’s price targets were reached, with a median of 81 days to reach a target (all analysts: 53.1%).

Melissa Fairbanks (Raymond James) covers 26 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are JBL, MPWR, MCHP, NXPI, ARW.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

What changed since Nov 2

Key takeaways

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How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained