AnalystsInsight

Brian Essex (J.P. Morgan): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Brian Essex’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,267 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Published Updated 3 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

  • Brian Essex ranks #494 of 1,121 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.8★).
  • 56.8% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.6% for the average analyst.
  • Median time to reach a target: 54 days; 53.6% of calls were up 12 months later.
  • Most‑covered stocks: FTNT, IBM, CRWD, RPD.
  • Free on Exent: Brian Essex’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Brian Essex’s track record at a glance

Brian Essex of J.P. Morgan ranks #494 of the 1,121 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.8★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 56.8% of Brian’s price targets were reached, 3.2 points above the 53.6% average across all analysts.

MetricBrian EssexAll analysts
Price‑target hit rate56.8%53.6%
Median days to hit target54 days91 days
Calls up after 12 months53.6%64.6%
Median 12‑month return of calls+3.7%+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years55.1%—
Average worst drop after a call−24.2%—
Ratings in the sample1,267—
Stocks covered28—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the targetBrian Essex
Under 30 days33.2%
30–90 days37.5%
90–180 days18.3%
Over 180 days11.0%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Brian Essex covers most

StockRatings in the sample
FTNT38
IBM37
CRWD36
RPD24
OKTA23
S22
FROG22
QLYS21

In the past year Brian’s ratings were 61% Buy, 26% Hold and 13% Sell.

Brian Essex’s latest ratings

DateStockActionRatingPrice target
Oct 16, 2026IBMReiterated: BuyBuy$250.00
Oct 7, 2026ZSMaintained: BuyBuy$245.00
Oct 7, 2026ZSReiterated: BuyBuy$245.00
Sep 18, 2026RPDDowngraded: SellSell$12.00
Sep 17, 2026RPDDowngraded: SellSell$12.00
Sep 15, 2026RPDDowngraded: SellSell$12.00
Sep 14, 2026RPDDowngraded: SellSell$12.00
Sep 10, 2026SAILReiterated: BuyBuy$22.00
Sep 9, 2026GTLBReiterated: HoldHold$52.00
Sep 4, 2026ZSRated: BuyBuy$215.00
Sep 3, 2026NTSKReiterated: BuyBuy$18.00
Sep 2, 2026PANWReiterated: BuyBuy$384.00
  • Oct 16, 2026
    Stock
    IBM
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $250.00
  • Oct 7, 2026
    Stock
    ZS
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $245.00
  • Oct 7, 2026
    Stock
    ZS
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $245.00
  • Sep 18, 2026
    Stock
    RPD
    Action
    Downgraded: Sell
    Rating
    Sell
    Price target
    $12.00
  • Sep 17, 2026
    Stock
    RPD
    Action
    Downgraded: Sell
    Rating
    Sell
    Price target
    $12.00
  • Sep 15, 2026
    Stock
    RPD
    Action
    Downgraded: Sell
    Rating
    Sell
    Price target
    $12.00
  • Sep 14, 2026
    Stock
    RPD
    Action
    Downgraded: Sell
    Rating
    Sell
    Price target
    $12.00
  • Sep 10, 2026
    Stock
    SAIL
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $22.00
  • Sep 9, 2026
    Stock
    GTLB
    Action
    Reiterated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $52.00
  • Sep 4, 2026
    Stock
    ZS
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $215.00
  • Sep 3, 2026
    Stock
    NTSK
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $18.00
  • Sep 2, 2026
    Stock
    PANW
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $384.00

Brian’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 21, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

  1. Exent Gems shows Brian Essex’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
  2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
  3. Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Brian Essex ranks #494 of 1,121 with a 4.8★ rating. 56.8% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.6%), and 53.6% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Brian Essex’s success rate is 59.5% by the ranking source and 56.8% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 54 days to reach a target.

Brian Essex (J.P. Morgan) covers 28 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are FTNT, IBM, CRWD, RPD, OKTA.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.