AnalystsInsight

Chris Graja (Argus Research): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

Chris Graja is one of the top‑ranked analysts in Exent’s 7‑year backtest. What Chris covers, how Chris’s ratings lean, how fast price targets were reached and the ratings from before the last 30 days; the full record and the newest calls are members‑only.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 18, 20262 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+1 new rating (stocks members‑only)

Key takeaways

Chris Graja ranks among the top 50 consumer discretionary analysts in Exent’s ranking, scored on a 7‑year backtest.
The exact rank, price‑target hit rate and live calls are members‑only in Exent Gems.
Most‑covered stocks: LEN, WSM, HD, MAS.
In the past year Chris’s ratings were 71% Buy, 29% Hold and 0% Sell.

In this article

Chris Graja’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Chris Graja covers most
Chris Graja’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Chris Graja’s track record at a glance

Chris Graja of Argus Research ranks among the top 50 consumer discretionary analysts in Exent’s ranking, with a focus on consumer discretionary. The top of the ranking is what Exent Gems follows, so Chris’s exact rank, hit rate and live calls are for members.

Metric	Chris Graja	All analysts
Exent rank		—
Price‑target hit rate		52.4%
Calls up after 12 months		64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls		+13.4%
Median days to hit target		91 days
Stocks covered	28	—

Unlock the full record in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Chris Graja
Under 30 days	3.8%
30–90 days	30.2%
90–180 days	30.2%
Over 180 days	35.9%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Chris Graja covers most

LEN · WSM · HD · MAS · TGT · KBH · DHI · DKS

In the past year Chris’s ratings were 71% Buy, 29% Hold and 0% Sell.

Chris Graja’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 18, 2026	BJ	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Sep 9, 2026	BBY	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Sep 8, 2026	TOL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$170.00
Sep 8, 2026	ETSY	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$89.00
Sep 3, 2026	DG	Rated: Buy	Buy	$170.00
Sep 1, 2026	WSM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$250.00
Aug 18, 2026	HD	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$400.00
Jul 27, 2026	TSCO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$41.00
Jul 10, 2026	KBH	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Jul 9, 2026	LEN	Rated: Buy	Buy	$108.00
Jun 26, 2026	BBY	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$77.00
Jun 11, 2026	BJ	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00

Sep 18, 2026
Stock
BJ
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Sep 9, 2026
Stock
BBY
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Sep 8, 2026
Stock
TOL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$170.00
Sep 8, 2026
Stock
ETSY
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$89.00
Sep 3, 2026
Stock
DG
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$170.00
Sep 1, 2026
Stock
WSM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$250.00
Aug 18, 2026
Stock
HD
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$400.00
Jul 27, 2026
Stock
TSCO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$41.00
Jul 10, 2026
Stock
KBH
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Jul 9, 2026
Stock
LEN
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$108.00
Jun 26, 2026
Stock
BBY
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$77.00
Jun 11, 2026
Stock
BJ
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00

Ratings from the last 30 days are members‑only in Exent Gems, with the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree; older ratings are shown in full.

See the latest ratings in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Gems shows Chris Graja’s full record and latest ratings, without the 30‑day delay.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring, Chris Graja ranks among the top 50 consumer discretionary analysts in Exent’s ranking, based on a 7-year backtest of price-target hit rate, returns after calls and number of ratings. The exact rank, hit rate and live calls are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Chris Graja’s price-target hit rate is part of the members-only record in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). For comparison, the average analyst’s price targets were reached 52.4% of the time.

Chris Graja (Argus Research) covers 28 stocks, mostly in consumer discretionary. The most frequently rated are LEN, WSM, HD, MAS, TGT.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained