Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
Every upgrade, downgrade, new coverage and price‑target change on US stocks in the 7 days to Sep 20, 2026, shown 30 days after publication and updated daily. Calls from the analysts Exent ranks highest are members‑only.
Every rating published on a US stock in the 7 days to Sep 20, 2026, by all analysts; the arrows compare with the 7 days before. The page moves forward one day every day.
Exent shows the newest ratings of the analysts at positions 91–100 and 250–1,000 of its ranking (outside the locked top ones) free, 3 days after they are published. Everyone else’s appear on this page 30 days later, and the calls of the analysts ranked highest stay members‑only.
| Stock | Rating and target | Analyst |
|---|---|---|
| SMTC | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Gus Richard |
| VRNS | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Joseph Gallo |
| VRNS | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Erik Suppiger |
| HOMB | New coverage Hold | Dave Rochester |
| HRTG | New coverage Hold | Gregory Peters |
| CHRN | New coverage Buy | Michael Donovan |
| CHRN | New coverage Buy | Michael Donovan |
| C | Target raised Buy | Lim Rui Wen |
| IBKR | Target raised Buy | Brian Bedell |
| IBKR | Target raised Buy | Benjamin Budish |
| MAR | Target raised Hold | Brandt Montour |
| USB | Target raised Buy | Chris Kotowski |
| PNC | Target raised Buy | Chris Kotowski |
| HLT | Target raised Buy | Brandt Montour |
| OXY | Target raised Hold | Arun Jayaram |
| Stock | Rating and target | Analyst |
|---|---|---|
| Upgrade Buy | ||
| Upgrade Buy | ||
| Upgrade Buy | ||
| EQNR | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Christopher Kuplent |
| RF | Upgrade Sell → Hold | David George |
| TSN | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Thomas Palmer |
| DT | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Mike Cikos |
| BALL | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Jeffrey Zekauskas |
| CCK | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Jeffrey Zekauskas |
| ETSY | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Marvin Fong |
| HAE | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Joanne Wuensch |
| BMI | Upgrade Buy | Ryan Connors |
| YETI | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Peter McGoldrick |
| KALU | Upgrade Sell → Hold | Timna Tanners |
| FTCI | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Jon Windham |
| Downgrade Hold | ||
| NFLX | Downgrade Hold → Sell | Steven Cahall |
| BSX | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Joanne Wuensch |
| XENE | Downgrade Buy → Hold | David Hoang |
| RPD | Downgrade Sell | Brian Essex |
| FBRT | Downgrade Hold | Tom Catherwood |
| ARRY | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Jon Windham |
| BCBP | Downgrade Hold | Christopher Marinac |
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Hold |
More that day: TSEM · IREN · MCHB · SVV · SHAZ · NGVC · BRUN · ANIK · AGEN · CATX · MRLN · CUE · CHRN
| Stock | Rating and target | Analyst |
|---|---|---|
| Upgrade Buy | ||
| Upgrade Buy | ||
| Upgrade Buy | ||
| Upgrade Buy | ||
| LLY | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Kerry Holford |
| UNP | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Thomas Wadewitz |
| EQNR | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Christopher Kuplent |
| ABNB | Upgrade Sell → Hold | Matthew Cost |
| RMD | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Craig Wong-Pan |
| SUNB | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Suhasini Varanasi |
| BAP | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Yuri Fernandes |
| ULTA | Upgrade Sell → Hold | Ike Boruchow |
| RF | Upgrade Sell → Hold | David George |
| AFRM | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Darrin Peller |
| JBHT | Upgrade Hold → Buy | Jeff Kauffman |
Also upgraded: TSN · DT · BALL · SGI · SEIC · CCK · IREN · PNR · REXR · ETSY · HAE · MIDD · BMI · ZIM · YETI · KALU · ALVO · ALGT · AGL · ADNT · HAWK · THRM · SMWB · FDMT · RLGT · CAPR · RCKT · CRDF · FTCI
| Stock | Rating and target | Analyst |
|---|---|---|
| Downgrade Hold | ||
| Downgrade Hold | ||
| Downgrade Hold | ||
| Downgrade Hold | ||
| Downgrade Hold | ||
| Downgrade Hold | ||
| NFLX | Downgrade Hold → Sell | Steven Cahall |
| PANW | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Peter Weed |
| ACN | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Jason Kupferberg |
| NU | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Pedro Leduc |
| HON | Downgrade Hold | Scott Davis |
| BSX | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Joanne Wuensch |
| VALE | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Ben Davis |
| BSBR | Downgrade Hold | Carlos Gomez-Lopez |
| HIG | Downgrade Buy → Hold | Yaron Kinar |
Also downgraded: CCI · EXPE · OKTA · CHTR · MKC · LII · APTV · S · LYFT · LEA · PEGA · AVAL · WAY · XENE · MWA · CBZ · MARA · BWIN · ADUS · ACVA · FLNC · RPD · FEIM · FBRT · ARRY · RBBN · BCBP · EH · CLLS · UCAR
Exent’s top 90 and each sector’s top 50 (451 of the 1,000 analysts it ranks by their 7‑year record) made 372 calls on US stocks in these 7 days. Their names, the stocks and the price targets are what Exent Gems is built on, so they are locked here.
| Date | Analyst | Rating | Stock and target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Upgrade Buy | ||
| Sep 18 | Upgrade Buy | ||
| Sep 18 | Upgrade Buy | ||
| Sep 15 | Upgrade Buy | ||
| Sep 18 | Downgrade Hold | ||
| Sep 14 | Downgrade Hold | ||
| Sep 14 | Downgrade Hold | ||
| Sep 14 | Downgrade Hold | ||
| Sep 14 | Downgrade Hold | ||
| Sep 14 | Downgrade Hold | ||
| Sep 18 | New coverage Buy | ||
| Sep 18 | New coverage Hold |
| Stock | New target | Analyst |
|---|---|---|
| OSCR | $42 +133% from $18 | John Ransom |
| PBF | $76 +100% from $38 | Joe Laetsch |
| OSCR | $31 +94% from $16 | David Windley |
| DK | $81 +80% from $45 | Joe Laetsch |
| MPC | $453 +71% from $265 | Joe Laetsch |
| CRL | $330 +65% from $200 | David Toung |
| NUE | $285 +64% from $174 | Vitaly Kononov |
| DINO | $127 +63% from $78 | Joe Laetsch |
| VLO | $411 +61% from $255 | Joe Laetsch |
| PSX | $310 +59% from $195 | Phillip Jungwirth |
Change against the same analyst’s previous target on the stock, in the 7 days to Sep 20, 2026. Companies worth $2 billion or more; targets under $5 and jumps of 3× or more are left out (they are mostly data errors).
| Stock | New target | Analyst |
|---|---|---|
| XENE | $46 −49% from $90 | David Hoang |
| CRWD | $280 −40% from $465 | Todd Weller CFA |
| LII | $444 −37% from $710 | Nicole Deblase |
| AVAV | $285 −34% from $429 | Anthony Valentini |
| ADBE | $261 −32% from $385 | Paul Chew |
| CLBT | $15 −32% from $22 | Rudy Kessinger |
| APP | $450 −31% from $650 | Matthew Cost |
| TCOM | $52 −31% from $75 | Yang Liu CFA |
| CAG | $12.50 −31% from $18 | David Palmer |
| MWA | $21 −30% from $30 | Jeff Reive |
Change against the same analyst’s previous target on the stock, in the 7 days to Sep 20, 2026. Companies worth $2 billion or more; targets under $5 and jumps of 3× or more are left out (they are mostly data errors).
| Sector | Upgrades | Downgrades | Targets raised / cut |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Cyclical | 10 | 6 | 16 / 41 |
| Industrials | 11 | 5 | 10 / 21 |
| Healthcare | 9 | 6 | 76 / 22 |
| Technology | 3 | 12 | 56 / 18 |
| Financial Services | 4 | 7 | 10 / 25 |
| Real Estate | 1 | 2 | 8 / 35 |
| Energy | 2 | 1 | 32 / 4 |
| Consumer Defensive | 1 | 1 | 8 / 19 |
| Basic Materials | 1 | 1 | 8 / 12 |
| Communication Services | 0 | 2 | 5 / 3 |
| Utilities | 0 | 2 | 0 / 7 |
Named calls in the 7 days to Sep 20, 2026; the top‑ranked analysts’ calls are not split by sector. Each sector links to the analysts with the best records in it.
| Stock | Rating and target | Analyst |
|---|---|---|
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Hold | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy | ||
| New coverage Buy |
Also newly covered: GEV · BKNG · WM · WBD · RSG · ADSK · NOK · FERG · KHC · FOXA · CNP · PPL · XYL · FCNCA · IOT · TSEM · WES · RIVN · ITT · SITM · CHTR · ECHO · IREN · JKHY · BSY · PSKY · FIG · UMBF · ONB · ZION · PCOR · HUT · SPXC · NTSK · CNM · AUGO · MP · VFC · AAON · RYTM · WULF · FNB · APLD · GRAL · CRC · IBP · GOLF · CRGY · CORZ · CRK · PAY · CIFR · FRSH · TARS · LION · MCHB · CELC · RCUS · BANC · FIVN · HAYW · ZYME · ASTH · SVV · PRSU · BAND · TSHA · SLVM · SHAZ · FCEL · PUMP · CAC · VSTM · TE · NGVC · BRUN · KOPN · SLDB · TKNO · STRZ · ABEO · ANIK · AGEN · MOVE · OBIO · CATX · PRLD · ZNTL · MNOV · MRLN · CUE · CHRN · TELO · SPRB · SLNH · GNLX · TMCR · MIRA · KYNB · IBIO · ATHE
| 7 days to | Upgrades | Downgrades | Buy / Hold / Sell |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | 46 | 51 | 68% / 28% / 4% |
| Sep 13 | 44 | 55 | 66% / 29% / 5% |
| Sep 6 | 37 | 46 | 67% / 30% / 3% |
| Aug 30 | 30 | 41 | 68% / 28% / 4% |
| Aug 23 | 36 | 61 | 68% / 29% / 4% |
| Aug 16 | 55 | 87 | 70% / 26% / 3% |
| Aug 9 | 98 | 153 | 67% / 29% / 4% |
| Aug 2 | 63 | 92 | 63% / 33% / 3% |
| Jul 26 | 44 | 90 | 62% / 33% / 5% |
| Jul 19 | 54 | 68 | 65% / 30% / 5% |
Every rating published on a US stock counts, reiterations included. Buy ratings were 68% of them in the latest 7 days, against 65% in the 7 days to Jul 19, 2026: Wall Street’s ratings lean to Buy in almost every week, so the change matters more than the level.
Exent records the ratings and price targets that Wall Street equity analysts publish on US‑listed stocks and shows them here 30 days after publication, updated every day. An upgrade or downgrade is a change of rating (Buy, Hold or Sell); new coverage is an analyst’s first rating on a stock; a price‑target change compares an analyst’s new target with their previous one on the same stock.
A rating is one analyst’s opinion, not a forecast you can bank on: across 628,792 rated calls in Exent’s 7‑year backtest, the average analyst’s price target was reached 52.4% of the time. That is why Exent ranks analysts by their record: see the analyst rankings and how accurate price targets are. What tends to happen to a stock after an upgrade: analyst upgrades explained.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Among the largest companies, in the 7 days to Sep 20, 2026 (shown 30 days later): LLY (Kerry Holford, Berenberg Bank, Sep 14); UNP (Thomas Wadewitz, UBS, Sep 16); EQNR (Christopher Kuplent, Bank of America Securities, Sep 18); ABNB (Matthew Cost, Morgan Stanley, Sep 16); RMD (Craig Wong-Pan, RBC Capital, Sep 15). Calls from Exent's top-ranked analysts are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar).
Among the largest companies, in the 7 days to Sep 20, 2026: NFLX (Steven Cahall, Wells Fargo, Sep 18); PANW (Peter Weed, Bernstein, Sep 17); ACN (Jason Kupferberg, Wells Fargo, Sep 14); NU (Pedro Leduc, Itau Unibanco, Sep 16); HON (Scott Davis, Melius Research, Sep 14).
An upgrade means an analyst raised their rating on a stock, for example from Hold to Buy; a downgrade is the reverse. It usually comes with a new 12-month price target. It is one analyst’s opinion at one firm, not a guarantee of returns.
Not reliably on average. Across 628,792 rated calls in Exent's 7-year backtest, the average analyst's price target was reached 52.4% of the time. Some analysts do much better over hundreds of calls, which is why Exent ranks them by track record (exent.ai/analysts).
Live calls are part of Exent Gems, a paid product. The public page shows every named call 30 days after publication, and the calls of Exent's top-ranked analysts only as locked rows.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.