Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
AnalystsInsight
Best Consumer Staples Analysts on Wall Street: Track Records Ranked
Exent ranks 11 consumer staples analysts among Wall Street’s 1,000 by price‑target hit rate, returns after their calls and number of ratings, from a 7‑year backtest. How the sector’s analysts do, and who ranks below the members‑only top 11.
Key takeaways
- 11 of the 1,000 analysts Exent ranks cover consumer staples mainly; their median price‑target hit rate is 54.7% (all analysts: 52.4%).
- A median 69.4% of their calls were up 12 months later; targets that were hit took a median 103 days.
- Every ranked consumer staples analyst is in the sector’s top 50, so the whole list is members‑only in Exent Gems.
How accurate are consumer staples analysts?
| Median across the sector’s analysts | Consumer Staples | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | 54.7% | 52.4% |
| Calls up after 12 months | 69.4% | 64.0% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +16.6% | +13.4% |
| Median days to hit target | 103 days | 91 days |
The top‑ranked consumer staples analysts
The top 11 consumer staples analysts are the ones Exent Gems follows in this sector. Who they are and what they are rating now is for members; their records are below.
| Sector rank | Analyst | Firm | Stars | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 4.9★ | 49.3% | ||
| #2 | 4.9★ | 58.8% | ||
| #3 | 4.8★ | 65.7% | ||
| #4 | 4.8★ | — | ||
| #5 | 4.7★ | 54.7% | ||
| #6 | 4.7★ | 65.6% | ||
| #7 | 4.7★ | 41.2% | ||
| #8 | 4.7★ | 57.5% | ||
| #9 | 4.6★ | 52.1% | ||
| #10 | 4.5★ | — |
- #1
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.9★
- Hit rate
- 49.3%
- #2
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.9★
- Hit rate
- 58.8%
- #3
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.8★
- Hit rate
- 65.7%
- #4
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.8★
- Hit rate
- —
- #5
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.7★
- Hit rate
- 54.7%
- #6
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.7★
- Hit rate
- 65.6%
- #7
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.7★
- Hit rate
- 41.2%
- #8
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.7★
- Hit rate
- 57.5%
- #9
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.6★
- Hit rate
- 52.1%
- #10
- Analyst
- Firm
- Stars
- 4.5★
- Hit rate
- —
How analysts are ranked
Every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback is replayed: was the target reached, how fast, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months later. The ranking combines success rate, average return and number of ratings; the sector rank orders the analysts whose main sector is consumer staples. Sector figures are medians, so one star analyst does not carry the group. All sectors and the overall ranking.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Frequently asked questions
In Exent’s ranking, the top consumer staples analyst reached 49.3% of price targets over a 7-year lookback, against a 54.7% median for the sector. The names and live calls of the top 11 consumer staples analysts are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar).
Across the 11 consumer staples analysts in Exent’s ranking, the median price-target hit rate was 54.7% over a 7-year lookback, against 52.4% for all analysts, and a median 69.4% of their calls were up 12 months later.
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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.