AnalystsInsight

Patrick Colville (Scotiabank): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Patrick Colville’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,105 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Published Updated 3 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

  • Patrick Colville ranks #904 of 1,121 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.6★).
  • 61.9% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.6% for the average analyst.
  • Median time to reach a target: 68 days; 51.1% of calls were up 12 months later.
  • Most‑covered stocks: ZS, MSFT, DDOG, CRWD.
  • Free on Exent: Patrick Colville’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Patrick Colville’s track record at a glance

Patrick Colville of Scotiabank ranks #904 of the 1,121 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.6★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 61.9% of Patrick’s price targets were reached, 8.3 points above the 53.6% average across all analysts.

MetricPatrick ColvilleAll analysts
Price‑target hit rate61.9%53.6%
Median days to hit target68 days91 days
Calls up after 12 months51.1%64.6%
Median 12‑month return of calls+1.1%+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years62.3%—
Average worst drop after a call−25.3%—
Ratings in the sample1,105—
Stocks covered22—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the targetPatrick Colville
Under 30 days30.3%
30–90 days32.3%
90–180 days24.3%
Over 180 days13.1%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Patrick Colville covers most

StockRatings in the sample
ZS27
MSFT26
DDOG26
CRWD23
MDB22
OKTA21
AKAM21
NET21

In the past year Patrick’s ratings were 65% Buy, 35% Hold and 0% Sell.

Patrick Colville’s latest ratings

DateStockActionRatingPrice target
Oct 8, 2026MDBReiterated: BuyBuy$450.00
Oct 7, 2026ZSReiterated: BuyBuy$255.00
Oct 5, 2026ZSMaintained: BuyBuy$240.00
Oct 5, 2026MSFTMaintained: BuyBuy$615.00
Oct 5, 2026SAILReiterated: BuyBuy$24.00
Oct 5, 2026SAILMaintained: BuyBuy$24.00
Oct 5, 2026MSFTReiterated: BuyBuy$615.00
Sep 28, 2026OKTAReiterated: BuyBuy$245.00
Sep 25, 2026AKAMReiterated: BuyBuy$180.00
Sep 11, 2026ORCLReiterated: BuyBuy$215.00
Sep 10, 2026SAILReiterated: BuyBuy$22.00
Sep 4, 2026ZSReiterated: BuyBuy$200.00
  • Oct 8, 2026
    Stock
    MDB
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $450.00
  • Oct 7, 2026
    Stock
    ZS
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $255.00
  • Oct 5, 2026
    Stock
    ZS
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $240.00
  • Oct 5, 2026
    Stock
    MSFT
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $615.00
  • Oct 5, 2026
    Stock
    SAIL
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $24.00
  • Oct 5, 2026
    Stock
    SAIL
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $24.00
  • Oct 5, 2026
    Stock
    MSFT
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $615.00
  • Sep 28, 2026
    Stock
    OKTA
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $245.00
  • Sep 25, 2026
    Stock
    AKAM
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $180.00
  • Sep 11, 2026
    Stock
    ORCL
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $215.00
  • Sep 10, 2026
    Stock
    SAIL
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $22.00
  • Sep 4, 2026
    Stock
    ZS
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $200.00

Patrick’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 21, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

  1. Exent Gems shows Patrick Colville’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
  2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
  3. Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Patrick Colville ranks #904 of 1,121 with a 4.6★ rating. 61.9% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.6%), and 51.1% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Patrick Colville’s success rate is 56.7% by the ranking source and 61.9% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 68 days to reach a target.

Patrick Colville (Scotiabank) covers 22 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are ZS, MSFT, DDOG, CRWD, MDB.

Get the picks Wall Street’s best analysts agree on.

Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.

See this week’s GemsLimited offer$1.95 for full access· full access

Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.