AnalystsInsight

Mark Lear (Scotiabank): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Mark Lear’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 2,340 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 21, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Mark Lear ranks #792 of 1,121 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.7★).
37.9% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.6% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 106 days; 64.4% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: DVN, OXY, EOG, FANG.
Free on Exent: Mark Lear’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

Mark Lear’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Mark Lear covers most
Mark Lear’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Mark Lear’s track record at a glance

Mark Lear of Scotiabank ranks #792 of the 1,121 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.7★ rating and a focus on energy. Over a 7‑year lookback, 37.9% of Mark’s price targets were reached, 15.7 points below the 53.6% average across all analysts.

Metric	Mark Lear	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	37.9%	53.6%
Median days to hit target	106 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	64.4%	64.6%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+13.6%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	49.7%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−16.8%	—
Ratings in the sample	2,340	—
Stocks covered	30	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Mark Lear
Under 30 days	20.0%
30–90 days	24.0%
90–180 days	20.3%
Over 180 days	35.7%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Mark Lear covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
DVN	31
OXY	25
EOG	23
FANG	23
APA	23
PR	21
CRGY	21
EXE	21

In the past year Mark’s ratings were 41% Buy, 53% Hold and 5% Sell.

Mark Lear’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Oct 20, 2026
Oct 15, 2026	TRGP	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$319.00
Oct 15, 2026	EOG	Initiated: Hold	Hold	$144.00
Oct 15, 2026	MUR	Initiated: Hold	Hold	$41.00
Oct 15, 2026	FANG	Initiated: Buy	Buy	$250.00
Oct 15, 2026	APA	Initiated: Hold	Hold	$44.00
Oct 15, 2026	PAA	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$28.00
Oct 15, 2026	PR	Initiated: Buy	Buy	$29.00
Oct 15, 2026	CHRD	Initiated: Buy	Buy	$192.00
Oct 15, 2026	TRGP	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$319.00
Oct 15, 2026	OXY	Initiated: Hold	Hold	$63.00
Oct 15, 2026	DVN	Initiated: Buy	Buy	$61.00
Oct 15, 2026	PAA	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$28.00

Oct 20, 2026
Stock
Action
Rating
Price target
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
TRGP
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$319.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
EOG
Action
Initiated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$144.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
MUR
Action
Initiated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$41.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
FANG
Action
Initiated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$250.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
APA
Action
Initiated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$44.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
PAA
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$28.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
PR
Action
Initiated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$29.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
CHRD
Action
Initiated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$192.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
TRGP
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$319.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
OXY
Action
Initiated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$63.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
DVN
Action
Initiated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$61.00
Oct 15, 2026
Stock
PAA
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$28.00

Mark published 1 rating in the last 3 days, the latest on Oct 20, 2026. Mark’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 21, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Mark Lear’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Mark Lear ranks #792 of 1,121 with a 4.7★ rating. 37.9% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.6%), and 64.4% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Mark Lear’s success rate is 60.8% by the ranking source and 37.9% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 106 days to reach a target.

Mark Lear (Scotiabank) covers 30 stocks, mostly in energy. The most frequently rated are DVN, OXY, EOG, FANG, APA.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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