AnalystsInsight

Zach Parham (J.P. Morgan): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Zach Parham’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 974 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Published Updated 3 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

  • Zach Parham ranks #943 of 1,121 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.6★).
  • 56.0% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.6% for the average analyst.
  • Median time to reach a target: 109 days; 67.1% of calls were up 12 months later.
  • Most‑covered stocks: GPOR, MTDR, NFG, EXE.
  • Free on Exent: Zach Parham’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Zach Parham’s track record at a glance

Zach Parham of J.P. Morgan ranks #943 of the 1,121 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.6★ rating and a focus on energy. Over a 7‑year lookback, 56.0% of Zach’s price targets were reached, 2.4 points above the 53.6% average across all analysts.

MetricZach ParhamAll analysts
Price‑target hit rate56.0%53.6%
Median days to hit target109 days91 days
Calls up after 12 months67.1%64.6%
Median 12‑month return of calls+13.2%+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years65.4%—
Average worst drop after a call−15.9%—
Ratings in the sample974—
Stocks covered19—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the targetZach Parham
Under 30 days18.0%
30–90 days25.2%
90–180 days27.3%
Over 180 days29.5%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Zach Parham covers most

StockRatings in the sample
GPOR44
MTDR43
NFG41
EXE36
MGY32
CRC28
CNX28
PR21

In the past year Zach’s ratings were 58% Buy, 40% Hold and 2% Sell.

Zach Parham’s latest ratings

DateStockActionRatingPrice target
May 13, 2026DKMaintainedHold$57.00
May 13, 2026CRCMaintainedBuy$83.00
May 13, 2026DKMaintained: HoldHold$57.00
May 13, 2026CRCMaintained: BuyBuy$83.00
May 6, 2026PBFReiterated: HoldHold$49.00
May 6, 2026DINOMaintained: HoldHold$79.00
May 6, 2026PBFMaintainedHold$49.00
May 6, 2026PBFMaintained: HoldHold$49.00
May 6, 2026DINOMaintainedHold$79.00
May 4, 2026NFGMaintainedHold$93.00
May 4, 2026VLOMaintainedBuy$299.00
May 4, 2026NFGMaintained: HoldHold$93.00
  • May 13, 2026
    Stock
    DK
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $57.00
  • May 13, 2026
    Stock
    CRC
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $83.00
  • May 13, 2026
    Stock
    DK
    Action
    Maintained: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $57.00
  • May 13, 2026
    Stock
    CRC
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $83.00
  • May 6, 2026
    Stock
    PBF
    Action
    Reiterated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $49.00
  • May 6, 2026
    Stock
    DINO
    Action
    Maintained: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $79.00
  • May 6, 2026
    Stock
    PBF
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $49.00
  • May 6, 2026
    Stock
    PBF
    Action
    Maintained: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $49.00
  • May 6, 2026
    Stock
    DINO
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $79.00
  • May 4, 2026
    Stock
    NFG
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $93.00
  • May 4, 2026
    Stock
    VLO
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $299.00
  • May 4, 2026
    Stock
    NFG
    Action
    Maintained: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $93.00

Zach’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 21, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

  1. Exent Gems shows Zach Parham’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
  2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
  3. Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Zach Parham ranks #943 of 1,121 with a 4.6★ rating. 56.0% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.6%), and 67.1% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Zach Parham’s success rate is 60.5% by the ranking source and 56.0% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 109 days to reach a target.

Zach Parham (J.P. Morgan) covers 19 stocks, mostly in energy. The most frequently rated are GPOR, MTDR, NFG, EXE, MGY.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.