AnalystsInsight

Arun Jayaram (J.P. Morgan): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Arun Jayaram’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,494 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 20, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

#775 rank (was #834)+2 new ratings (LBRT, PUMP)

Key takeaways

Arun Jayaram ranks #722 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.7★).
53.8% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 110 days; 62.5% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: XOM, MUR, BKR, COP.
Free on Exent: Arun Jayaram’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

Arun Jayaram’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Arun Jayaram covers most
Arun Jayaram’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Arun Jayaram’s track record at a glance

Arun Jayaram of J.P. Morgan ranks #722 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.7★ rating and a focus on energy. Over a 7‑year lookback, 53.8% of Arun’s price targets were reached, 1.4 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Arun Jayaram	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	53.8%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	110 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	62.5%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+12.1%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	64.5%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−18.4%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,494	—
Stocks covered	45	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Arun Jayaram
Under 30 days	22.3%
30–90 days	19.6%
90–180 days	26.7%
Over 180 days	31.3%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Arun Jayaram covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
XOM	19
MUR	18
BKR	18
COP	17
FANG	16
OXY	15
CVX	15
EQT	15

In the past year Arun’s ratings were 55% Buy, 34% Hold and 11% Sell.

Arun Jayaram’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 18, 2026	LBRT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$31.00
Sep 18, 2026	PUMP	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$18.00
Sep 8, 2026	GPOR	Downgraded: Sell	Sell	$194.00
Sep 8, 2026	MGY	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$33.00
Sep 8, 2026	TSX-CVE	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$58.00
Aug 17, 2026	TSX-SU	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$114.00
Aug 17, 2026	MTDR	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$64.00
Aug 12, 2026	NESR	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$41.00
Aug 12, 2026	CRC	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$79.00
Aug 12, 2026	TSX-CNQ	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$75.00
Aug 12, 2026	MUR	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$43.00
Aug 12, 2026	APA	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$41.00

Sep 18, 2026
Stock
LBRT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$31.00
Sep 18, 2026
Stock
PUMP
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$18.00
Sep 8, 2026
Stock
GPOR
Action
Downgraded: Sell
Rating
Sell
Price target
$194.00
Sep 8, 2026
Stock
MGY
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$33.00
Sep 8, 2026
Stock
TSX-CVE
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$58.00
Aug 17, 2026
Stock
TSX-SU
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$114.00
Aug 17, 2026
Stock
MTDR
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$64.00
Aug 12, 2026
Stock
NESR
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$41.00
Aug 12, 2026
Stock
CRC
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$79.00
Aug 12, 2026
Stock
TSX-CNQ
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$75.00
Aug 12, 2026
Stock
MUR
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$43.00
Aug 12, 2026
Stock
APA
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$41.00

Arun’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Arun Jayaram’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Arun Jayaram ranks #722 of 1,000 with a 4.7★ rating. 53.8% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 62.5% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Arun Jayaram’s success rate is 60.0% by the ranking source and 53.8% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 110 days to reach a target.

Arun Jayaram (J.P. Morgan) covers 45 stocks, mostly in energy. The most frequently rated are XOM, MUR, BKR, COP, FANG.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained