AnalystsInsight

Sam Margolin (Wells Fargo): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Sam Margolin’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 371 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Published Updated 3 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

  • Sam Margolin ranks #97 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
  • 51.6% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
  • Median time to reach a target: 103 days; 67.9% of calls were up 12 months later.
  • Most‑covered stocks: MPC, CVX, DK, COP.

Sam Margolin’s track record at a glance

Sam Margolin of Wells Fargo ranks #97 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on energy. Over a 7‑year lookback, 51.6% of Sam’s price targets were reached, 0.8 points below the 52.4% average across all analysts.

MetricSam MargolinAll analysts
Price‑target hit rate51.6%52.4%
Median days to hit target103 days91 days
Calls up after 12 months67.9%64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls+11.7%+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years58.0%—
Average worst drop after a call−12.5%—
Ratings in the sample371—
Stocks covered33—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the targetSam Margolin
Under 30 days14.8%
30–90 days28.4%
90–180 days42.1%
Over 180 days14.8%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Sam Margolin covers most

StockRatings in the sample
MPC25
CVX24
DK23
COP23
VLO22
TSX-SU21
XOM21
BP20

In the past year Sam’s ratings were 65% Buy, 34% Hold and 1% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

DateStockActionRatingPrice target
Sep 14, 2026OXYReiterated: BuyBuy$82.00
Sep 4, 2026TBNRated: BuyBuy$58.00
Sep 3, 2026CVXRated: BuyBuy$230.00
Sep 3, 2026EQTReiterated: BuyBuy$79.00
Sep 2, 2026PRReiterated: BuyBuy$27.00
Sep 2, 2026OVVReiterated: BuyBuy$79.00
Sep 2, 2026MURReiterated: HoldHold$41.00
Sep 1, 2026MPCRated: BuyBuy$400.00
Sep 1, 2026PSXRated: BuyBuy$335.00
Sep 1, 2026DKRated: BuyBuy$82.00
Sep 1, 2026VLORated: BuyBuy$389.00
Sep 1, 2026DINORated: HoldHold$93.00
  • Sep 14, 2026
    Stock
    OXY
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $82.00
  • Sep 4, 2026
    Stock
    TBN
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $58.00
  • Sep 3, 2026
    Stock
    CVX
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $230.00
  • Sep 3, 2026
    Stock
    EQT
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $79.00
  • Sep 2, 2026
    Stock
    PR
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $27.00
  • Sep 2, 2026
    Stock
    OVV
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $79.00
  • Sep 2, 2026
    Stock
    MUR
    Action
    Reiterated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $41.00
  • Sep 1, 2026
    Stock
    MPC
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $400.00
  • Sep 1, 2026
    Stock
    PSX
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $335.00
  • Sep 1, 2026
    Stock
    DK
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $82.00
  • Sep 1, 2026
    Stock
    VLO
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $389.00
  • Sep 1, 2026
    Stock
    DINO
    Action
    Rated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $93.00

Live ratings from Sam Margolin and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 18, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

  1. Exent Stocks Radar shows Sam Margolin’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
  2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
  3. Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Sam Margolin ranks #97 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 51.6% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 67.9% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Sam Margolin’s success rate is 72.2% by the ranking source and 51.6% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 103 days to reach a target.

Sam Margolin (Wells Fargo) covers 33 stocks, mostly in energy. The most frequently rated are MPC, CVX, DK, COP, VLO.

Get the picks Wall Street’s best analysts agree on.

Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.

See this week’s GemsLimited offer$1.95 for full access· full access

Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.