AnalystsInsight

Tristan Gerra (Robert W. Baird): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Tristan Gerra’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,310 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 16, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Tristan Gerra ranks #66 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
55.8% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 84 days; 56.4% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: AMD, SMTC, ON, INTC.

In this article

Tristan Gerra’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Tristan Gerra covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Tristan Gerra’s track record at a glance

Tristan Gerra of Robert W. Baird ranks #66 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 55.8% of Tristan’s price targets were reached, 3.4 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Tristan Gerra	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	55.8%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	84 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	56.4%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+7.1%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	75.4%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−24.8%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,310	—
Stocks covered	30	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Tristan Gerra
Under 30 days	24.3%
30–90 days	27.3%
90–180 days	24.0%
Over 180 days	24.3%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Tristan Gerra covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
AMD	28
SMTC	27
ON	27
INTC	27
KN	24
DIOD	23
NVDA	22
LSCC	21

In the past year Tristan’s ratings were 90% Buy, 10% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 2, 2026	AVGO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$630.00
Aug 26, 2026	SMTC	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$300.00
Aug 24, 2026	ADI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$675.00
Aug 6, 2026	GFS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$140.00
Aug 6, 2026	HIMX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$43.00
Aug 5, 2026	DIOD	Rated: Buy	Buy	$192.00
Aug 5, 2026	WDC	Rated: Buy	Buy	$630.00
Aug 4, 2026	AMD	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1250.00
Aug 4, 2026	LSCC	Rated: Buy	Buy	$174.00
Aug 3, 2026	LINK	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Aug 3, 2026	ON	Rated: Hold	Hold	$108.00
Jul 30, 2026	QCOM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$400.00

Sep 2, 2026
Stock
AVGO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$630.00
Aug 26, 2026
Stock
SMTC
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$300.00
Aug 24, 2026
Stock
ADI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$675.00
Aug 6, 2026
Stock
GFS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$140.00
Aug 6, 2026
Stock
HIMX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$43.00
Aug 5, 2026
Stock
DIOD
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$192.00
Aug 5, 2026
Stock
WDC
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$630.00
Aug 4, 2026
Stock
AMD
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1250.00
Aug 4, 2026
Stock
LSCC
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$174.00
Aug 3, 2026
Stock
LINK
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Aug 3, 2026
Stock
ON
Action
Rated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$108.00
Jul 30, 2026
Stock
QCOM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$400.00

Live ratings from Tristan Gerra and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 16, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Stocks Radar shows Tristan Gerra’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Tristan Gerra ranks #66 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 55.8% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 56.4% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Tristan Gerra’s success rate is 59.2% by the ranking source and 55.8% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 84 days to reach a target.

Tristan Gerra (Robert W. Baird) covers 30 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are AMD, SMTC, ON, INTC, KN.

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