AnalystsInsight

Moshe Orenbuch (TD Cowen): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Moshe Orenbuch’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,174 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 20, 2026Updated Oct 20, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Moshe Orenbuch ranks #130 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
62.4% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 91 days; 74.5% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: SLM, OMF, COF, BFH.

In this article

Moshe Orenbuch’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Moshe Orenbuch covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Moshe Orenbuch’s track record at a glance

Moshe Orenbuch of TD Cowen ranks #130 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on financials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 62.4% of Moshe’s price targets were reached, 10.0 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Moshe Orenbuch	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	62.4%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	91 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	74.5%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+21.6%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	62.9%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−16.1%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,174	—
Stocks covered	24	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Moshe Orenbuch
Under 30 days	22.2%
30–90 days	27.5%
90–180 days	25.5%
Over 180 days	24.8%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Moshe Orenbuch covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
SLM	53
OMF	46
COF	42
BFH	40
SYF	37
AXP	28
AFRM	20
ENVA	18

In the past year Moshe’s ratings were 65% Buy, 30% Hold and 6% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 15, 2026	ENVA	Rated: Buy	Buy	$220.00
Sep 15, 2026	BFH	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$114.00
Sep 15, 2026	SLM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$32.00
Sep 15, 2026	COF	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$253.00
Sep 4, 2026	PGY	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$26.00
Aug 28, 2026	AFRM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$124.00
Aug 19, 2026	KLAR	Rated: Hold	Hold	$18.00
Aug 17, 2026	SLM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$32.00
Aug 17, 2026	SYF	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$90.00
Aug 17, 2026	COF	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$253.00
Aug 14, 2026	OMF	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$68.00
Aug 7, 2026	NNI	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$130.00

Sep 15, 2026
Stock
ENVA
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$220.00
Sep 15, 2026
Stock
BFH
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$114.00
Sep 15, 2026
Stock
SLM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$32.00
Sep 15, 2026
Stock
COF
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$253.00
Sep 4, 2026
Stock
PGY
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$26.00
Aug 28, 2026
Stock
AFRM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$124.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
KLAR
Action
Rated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$18.00
Aug 17, 2026
Stock
SLM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$32.00
Aug 17, 2026
Stock
SYF
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$90.00
Aug 17, 2026
Stock
COF
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$253.00
Aug 14, 2026
Stock
OMF
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$68.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
NNI
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$130.00

Live ratings from Moshe Orenbuch and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Stocks Radar shows Moshe Orenbuch’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Moshe Orenbuch ranks #130 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 62.4% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 74.5% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Moshe Orenbuch’s success rate is 64.7% by the ranking source and 62.4% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 91 days to reach a target.

Moshe Orenbuch (TD Cowen) covers 24 stocks, mostly in financials. The most frequently rated are SLM, OMF, COF, BFH, SYF.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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