AnalystsInsight

Thomas Smith (Leerink Partners): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Thomas Smith’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,285 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 16, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Thomas Smith ranks #68 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
28.0% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 137 days; 48.2% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: VRDN, MDGL, IRON, ALMS.

In this article

Thomas Smith’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Thomas Smith covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Thomas Smith’s track record at a glance

Thomas Smith of Leerink Partners ranks #68 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on healthcare. Over a 7‑year lookback, 28.0% of Thomas’s price targets were reached, 24.4 points below the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Thomas Smith	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	28.0%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	137 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	48.2%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	−2.5%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	25.2%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−38.5%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,285	—
Stocks covered	36	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Thomas Smith
Under 30 days	16.5%
30–90 days	19.8%
90–180 days	26.5%
Over 180 days	37.2%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Thomas Smith covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
VRDN	29
MDGL	25
IRON	24
ALMS	24
KROS	23
ARGX	23
RNAC	23
VKTX	23

In the past year Thomas’s ratings were 100% Buy, 0% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 10, 2026	IRON	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$100.00
Sep 10, 2026	SYRE	Rated: Buy	Buy	$128.00
Sep 10, 2026	EVMN	Rated: Buy	Buy	$22.00
Aug 4, 2026	KROS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$23.00
Jul 28, 2026	ALT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$10.00
Jul 24, 2026	ARGX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1065.00
Jul 22, 2026	CLDX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$70.00
Jul 6, 2026	AVTX	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$38.00
Jun 22, 2026	ALT	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$10.00
Jun 12, 2026	CLYM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$0.00
Jun 2, 2026	XFOR	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$12.00
Jun 2, 2026	XFOR	Initiated Coverage	Buy	$12.00

Sep 10, 2026
Stock
IRON
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$100.00
Sep 10, 2026
Stock
SYRE
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$128.00
Sep 10, 2026
Stock
EVMN
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$22.00
Aug 4, 2026
Stock
KROS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$23.00
Jul 28, 2026
Stock
ALT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$10.00
Jul 24, 2026
Stock
ARGX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1065.00
Jul 22, 2026
Stock
CLDX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$70.00
Jul 6, 2026
Stock
AVTX
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$38.00
Jun 22, 2026
Stock
ALT
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$10.00
Jun 12, 2026
Stock
CLYM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00
Jun 2, 2026
Stock
XFOR
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$12.00
Jun 2, 2026
Stock
XFOR
Action
Initiated Coverage
Rating
Buy
Price target
$12.00

Live ratings from Thomas Smith and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 16, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Stocks Radar shows Thomas Smith’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Thomas Smith ranks #68 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 28.0% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 48.2% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Thomas Smith’s success rate is 53.6% by the ranking source and 28.0% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 137 days to reach a target.

Thomas Smith (Leerink Partners) covers 36 stocks, mostly in healthcare. The most frequently rated are VRDN, MDGL, IRON, ALMS, KROS.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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