Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
AnalystsInsight
Roth MKM Analysts: Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy
How accurate Roth MKM’s equity analysts have been: their median price‑target hit rate and how their calls did a year later, from Exent’s 7‑year backtest.
Key takeaways
- 17 Roth MKM analysts are in Exent’s ranking of the top 1,121.
- Their median price‑target hit rate is 58.5% (all analysts: 53.6%).
- A median 59.1% of their calls were up 12 months later.
- Main sectors covered: Technology, Industrials, Energy, Materials.
How accurate are Roth MKM analysts?
| Median across the firm’s analysts | Roth MKM | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | 58.5% | 53.6% |
| Calls up after 12 months | 59.1% | 64.6% |
Roth MKM’s top‑ranked analysts
| Analyst | Stars | Hit rate | Calls up after 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0★ | 70.4% | 55.5% | |
| 5.0★ | 67.2% | 56.2% | |
| 4.9★ | 60.9% | 68.8% | |
| 4.9★ | 58.6% | 60.5% | |
| 4.8★ | 61.4% | 57.9% |
Who Roth MKM’s highest‑ranked analysts are, and what they are rating now, is in Exent Gems: the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree.
How this is measured
Firm figures are medians across the firm’s analysts in Exent’s ranking, so one star analyst does not carry the whole firm. Each analyst’s record is a 7‑year replay of their rated price targets. See the analyst rankings.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Frequently asked questions
Across 17 Roth MKM analysts in Exent’s ranking, the median price-target hit rate was 58.5% over a 7-year lookback, against 53.6% for all analysts.
Exent ranks 17 Roth MKM analysts by their 7-year record. The names and live calls of the top-ranked ones are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar).
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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.