StocksInsight

GOOGL Stock vs the S&P 500: Returns, Risk and Crash History

Alphabet Inc., communication services (market value $4.19 trillion): how it compared with the S&P 500, how it behaved in every crash since 2008, its risk‑adjusted returns and what analysts said. Data as of Sep 30, 2026.

4 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

  • GOOGL returned +159.5% over the 5 years to Sep 30, 2026 versus +89.1% for the S&P 500: it beat the index.
  • Its 5-year Sharpe ratio was 0.66 against 0.69 for the S&P 500.
  • Its deepest crisis drawdown was −65.3% in the global financial crisis (2007–09) (S&P 500: −56.5%).
  • Five‑year volatility was 32.0% and beta 1.21.
  • 43 analysts rated it in the past year; 81% of their latest calls were Buy.

Did GOOGL beat the S&P 500?

Over the 5 years to Sep 30, 2026, Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) returned +159.5% including dividends, versus +89.1% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It beat the index by 70.4 percentage points, or +21.0% a year against +13.6%.

PeriodGOOGLS&P 500GOOGL per yearS&P 500 per yearResult
1 year+41.7%+15.1%+41.7%+15.1%Beat
3 years+165.1%+84.1%+38.4%+22.6%Beat
5 years+159.5%+89.1%+21.0%+13.6%Beat
10 years+762.8%+310.7%+24.0%+15.2%Beat
  • 1 year
    GOOGL
    +41.7%
    S&P 500
    +15.1%
    GOOGL per year
    +41.7%
    S&P 500 per year
    +15.1%
    Result
    Beat
  • 3 years
    GOOGL
    +165.1%
    S&P 500
    +84.1%
    GOOGL per year
    +38.4%
    S&P 500 per year
    +22.6%
    Result
    Beat
  • 5 years
    GOOGL
    +159.5%
    S&P 500
    +89.1%
    GOOGL per year
    +21.0%
    S&P 500 per year
    +13.6%
    Result
    Beat
  • 10 years
    GOOGL
    +762.8%
    S&P 500
    +310.7%
    GOOGL per year
    +24.0%
    S&P 500 per year
    +15.2%
    Result
    Beat

Total return with dividends reinvested, from month-end prices to Sep 30, 2026. Beating the index on raw return is only half the story: the next section adjusts for the risk taken. See also how to beat the S&P 500.

GOOGL returns by year vs the S&P 500

GOOGL beat the S&P 500 in 7 of the 9 full calendar years shown.

YearGOOGLS&P 500Difference
2026 (to Sep 30, 2026)+10.0%+12.1%−2.1%
2025+66.0%+17.7%+48.3%
2024+36.0%+24.9%+11.1%
2023+58.3%+26.2%+32.1%
2022−39.1%−18.2%−20.9%
2021+65.3%+28.7%+36.6%
2020+30.8%+18.3%+12.5%
2019+28.2%+31.2%−3.0%
2018−0.8%−4.6%+3.8%
2017+32.9%+21.7%+11.2%

GOOGL risk-adjusted returns: Sharpe, Sortino and volatility

Over 5 years, GOOGL had a Sharpe ratio of 0.66 against 0.69 for the S&P 500, so it earned less return per unit of risk than the index. Its annualized volatility was 31.3% and its beta 1.21: it tended to move about 1.2× as much as the market.

MetricGOOGLS&P 500
Annual return+21.0%+13.6%
Volatility (annualized)31.3%15.7%
Sharpe ratio0.660.69
Sortino ratio1.171.10
Max drawdown (month-end)−40.4%−23.9%
Beta to the S&P 5001.211.00

Sharpe divides return above cash by total volatility; Sortino counts only downside volatility. Both use monthly returns and the 1–3 month T‑bill ETF (BIL) as the risk‑free rate.

How GOOGL behaved in past crashes

GOOGL’s deepest fall in the crises below was −65.3% in the global financial crisis (2007–09), against −56.5% for the S&P 500. The last column turns that into money: what a $100,000 position would have lost from peak to trough.

CrisisGOOGLS&P 500Loss on $100,000
Global financial crisis (2007–09)−65.3%−56.5%−$65,300
2018 trade-war selloff−18.7%−20.2%−$18,740
COVID crash (Feb–Mar 2020)−30.9%−34.1%−$30,860
2022 inflation bear market−35.4%−25.4%−$35,370
2025 tariff selloff−21.9%−19.0%−$21,900
WindowGOOGL max drawdown
Last 1 year−21.1%
Last 3 years−29.8%
Last 5 years−44.3%
Last 10 years−44.3%

Peak‑to‑trough declines from daily prices inside each crisis window. A crash replay does not predict the next crisis; it shows how much room a holding needs. Run the same replay on a whole portfolio with the crash test.

What moves with GOOGL, and what doesn’t

Correlation runs from −1 (moves opposite) to +1 (moves in lockstep). Over the last 60 months of monthly returns, GOOGL’s correlation with the S&P 500 was 0.61, with the Nasdaq‑100 0.69, with long Treasuries (TLT) 0.27 and with gold (GLD) 0.25.

Adding a 5% GOOGL position to an S&P 500 portfolio would have moved its 5‑year volatility from 15.7% to 15.9%.

Least correlated large capsCorrelationMost correlated large capsCorrelation
PGR−0.22AMZN0.68
TMUS−0.16AVGO0.66
T−0.16WDC0.59
LMT−0.15ANET0.57
XOM−0.14AMD0.54

Holdings that are highly correlated behave like one position in a selloff. See how to find hidden overlap.

What Wall Street analysts say about GOOGL

In the 12 months to 30 days ago, 43 analysts published 713 ratings on GOOGL. Their latest calls were 81% Buy, 19% Hold and 0% Sell. 24 of them rank 4★ or higher in Exent’s analyst scoring, which is based on each analyst’s past price‑target hit rate and returns.

The consensus 12‑month price target was $376.75 (range $185.00–$443.00), +6.2% from the last price. Remember that the average analyst’s target is hit only about half the time: how accurate are price targets?

Ratings are shown with a 30‑day delay. The live view, including the median target of only the top‑rated analysts, is in Exent Stocks Radar.

The right benchmark for GOOGL

Exent matches every holding to the index with the most similar risk. For GOOGL that is QQQ (the Nasdaq‑100). Comparing a holding with an index that carries very different risk makes good results look bad and risky ones look clever. Read why the S&P 500 is the wrong benchmark for most portfolios.

Other communication services stocks

TickerName5‑year returnVolatility (5y)
METAMeta Platforms, Inc.+115.3%44.3%

Data and methodology

Returns are total returns from month‑end adjusted closing prices (dividends reinvested) through Sep 30, 2026. Crisis drawdowns and trailing maximum drawdowns use daily prices. Analyst coverage counts ratings published in the last 12 months, shown with a 30‑day delay. Full method: Exent methodology.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

See what GOOGL does to your own portfolio

  1. Upload a screenshot of your holdings (or a CSV, Excel, PDF or Google Sheet); no brokerage login.
  2. Exent replays your whole portfolio, GOOGL included, through the 2008, 2018, 2020, 2022 and 2025 selloffs and shows which holdings drive the losses.
  3. It finds holdings that move together with GOOGL and compares your portfolio with a risk‑matched benchmark, Sharpe and Sortino included.
  4. Use the what‑if simulator to change weights and see the effect before you trade.

Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

Yes. GOOGL returned +762.8% (+24.0% a year) over the 10 years to Sep 30, 2026, versus +310.7% (+15.2% a year) for the S&P 500, including dividends.

GOOGL fell −65.3% from peak to trough during the global financial crisis (2007–09), versus −56.5% for the S&P 500.

GOOGL fell −30.9% from peak to trough during the covid crash (feb–mar 2020), versus −34.1% for the S&P 500.

GOOGL fell −35.4% from peak to trough during the 2022 inflation bear market, versus −25.4% for the S&P 500.

Over the 5 years to Sep 30, 2026, GOOGL’s Sharpe ratio was 0.66 and its Sortino ratio 1.17, versus 0.69 and 1.10 for the S&P 500.

GOOGL’s 5‑year annualized volatility was 32.0%, higher than the S&P 500’s 17.0%, with a beta of 1.21.

Among large US stocks, the lowest correlations with GOOGL over the last 60 months were PGR (−0.22), TMUS (−0.16), T (−0.16). Its correlation with long Treasuries (TLT) was 0.27 and with gold (GLD) 0.25.

What would GOOGL do to your portfolio?

Exent replays your whole portfolio through the same crashes, finds holdings that move together and compares you with a risk‑matched benchmark. Upload a screenshot; results in about a minute.

Check my portfolioLimited offer$1.95 for unlimited checks· unlimited checks

Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.