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Do Insider Buys Beat the Market? SEC Form 4 Data Since 2012

The average insider purchase beat the S&P 500 by 17.2 percentage points over the next year, but the median buy beat it by 1.0 percentage point. Results by role, buy size, cluster buying and year, and which companies had the most insider buying and selling in the last 12 months.

Published Updated 7 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

  • On average, yes, but the typical buy barely did: across 17,865 insider purchases reported on SEC Form 4 since Feb 1, 2012, the stock beat the S&P 500 by 17.2 percentage points on average over the next 12 months, while the median buy beat it by 1.0 percentage point and 51.4% of buys beat the index (data as of Oct 20, 2026).
  • By role, purchases by CFOs did best: the median buy beat the S&P 500 by 4.4 percentage points over 12 months and 55.3% beat it (819 buys), while buys by 10% owners did worst (median −2.7%, 46.5% beat it), 2012 to Oct 20, 2026.
  • Smaller buys did better than big ones: purchases under $100,000 beat the S&P 500 by 1.8 percentage points at the median over 12 months, while buys of $1 million or more trailed it by 2.1 percentage points (Form 4 buys since 2012).
  • Cluster buys, when three or more insiders bought the same stock within 30 days, beat the S&P 500 over 12 months in 52.2% of cases, against 50.9% for buys by a lone insider (6,200 and 11,665 buys since 2012).
  • In the 12 months to Oct 20, 2026, the largest insider buying by value was at Public Storage (PSA), $235.7 million; Coupang (CPNG), $136.6 million; Kenvue (KVUE), $111.0 million, by SEC Form 4 company totals.

Do insider buys beat the market?

On average, yes, but the typical buy barely did: across 17,865 insider purchases reported on SEC Form 4 since Feb 1, 2012, the stock beat the S&P 500 by 17.2 percentage points on average over the next 12 months, while the median buy beat it by 1.0 percentage point and 51.4% of buys beat the index (data as of Oct 20, 2026).

+17.2%Average buy vs the S&P 500, 12 months17,865 buys
+1.0%Median buy vs the S&P 500, 12 months
51.4%Buys that beat the S&P 500 over 12 months

The gap between the average (+17.2%) and the median (+1.0%) is the key number: a minority of buys that turned into very large winners pull the average up, while the typical buy did about as well as the index. Over the first three months the average buy beat the S&P 500 by 4.3 percentage points.

Insiders (executives, directors and holders of more than 10% of a company) must report trades in their own company’s stock on SEC Form 4 within two business days. Purchases are the interesting side: insiders sell for many reasons, but they usually buy for one. The data says that reason pays off only modestly for the typical buy, and that the big wins are concentrated in a few. See insider buying for the basics.

Whose buys did best: CEOs, CFOs or directors?

By role, purchases by CFOs did best: the median buy beat the S&P 500 by 4.4 percentage points over 12 months and 55.3% beat it (819 buys), while buys by 10% owners did worst (median −2.7%, 46.5% beat it), 2012 to Oct 20, 2026. The median is the fairer measure here, because a handful of huge winners can lift any group’s average.

InsiderBuysMedian vs S&P 500, 12 monthsBeat the S&P 500
CFO819+4.4%55.3%
CEO2,537+2.4%53.2%
Director10,002+1.2%52.0%
Other officer2,038+0.6%50.5%
10% owner2,469−2.7%46.5%

Chief financial officers see the numbers first, and CEOs set the plan, so their purchases are often read as the most informed. Large holders such as funds and parent companies buy for strategic or portfolio reasons, which can explain why their buys say less.

Do cluster buys beat single insider buys?

Slightly, in this data. Cluster buys, when three or more insiders bought the same stock within 30 days, beat the S&P 500 over 12 months in 52.2% of cases, against 50.9% for buys by a lone insider (6,200 and 11,665 buys since 2012). At the median, cluster buys beat the S&P 500 by 1.5 percentage points and single buys beat it by 0.6 percentage points.

BuysNumberAverage vs S&P 500Median vs S&P 500Beat the S&P 500
Cluster (3+ insiders in 30 days)6,200+18.3%+1.5%52.2%
Single insider11,665+16.7%+0.6%50.9%
BuysCluster (3+ insiders in 30 days)Single insider
Number6,20011,665
Average vs S&P 500+18.3%+16.7%
Median vs S&P 500+1.5%+0.6%
Beat the S&P 50052.2%50.9%

Several insiders buying at once is often treated as a stronger signal, since it is harder to explain by one person’s finances. The edge, where there is one, is small next to the spread of results within each group.

Do bigger insider buys predict bigger gains?

No, not in this data. Smaller buys did better than big ones: purchases under $100,000 beat the S&P 500 by 1.8 percentage points at the median over 12 months, while buys of $1 million or more trailed it by 2.1 percentage points (Form 4 buys since 2012).

BuysNumberAverage vs S&P 500Median vs S&P 500Beat the S&P 500
$1 million or more3,438+4.7%−2.1%47.1%
Under $100,0007,472+23.2%+1.8%52.7%
Buys$1 million or moreUnder $100,000
Number3,4387,472
Average vs S&P 500+4.7%+23.2%
Median vs S&P 500−2.1%+1.8%
Beat the S&P 50047.1%52.7%

The largest purchases often come from 10% owners, funds and parent companies, whose reasons are strategic as much as a view on the next year, while small buys by executives are personal money at risk. A dollar figure tells you how much was bought, not how much the buyer knows.

Has insider buying beaten the market every year?

No. The median insider buy beat the S&P 500 over the following 12 months in 8 of the 14 years from 2012 to 2025. The best year was 2020 (median +20.6%, average +60.0%) and the worst 2019 (median −14.8%). Results swing with the market: buys made just before a selloff or a rebound inherit it.

2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Year boughtBuysMedian vs S&P 500Beat the S&P 500
2012932+6.9%60.8%
2013887−0.5%49.2%
2014963+0.2%50.6%
20151,315+4.1%56.6%
20161,249+2.7%55.1%
20171,114+0.1%50.0%
20181,455+2.0%52.7%
20191,444−14.8%33.7%
20201,929+20.6%64.0%
20211,130−3.1%47.4%
20221,900+0.3%50.3%
20231,491−3.3%46.8%
2024983−0.9%49.2%
20251,0730.0%50.0%

Each year’s buys are measured over the 12 months after the purchase, so the latest year only appears once its window has closed.

Which companies had the most insider buying in the last 12 months?

Public Storage (PSA) led by value: insiders bought $235.7 million of stock in the 12 months to Oct 20, 2026, across 2 purchases by 2 insiders. Company totals from SEC Form 4 filings:

StockPurchasesInsidersValue
Public Storage (PSA)22$235.7 million
Coupang (CPNG)31$136.6 million
Kenvue (KVUE)21$111.0 million
GameStop (GME)155$108.9 million
Robinhood Markets (HOOD)41$57.6 million
Energy Transfer (ET)52$55.3 million
International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF)83$30.5 million
KKR (KKR)85$28.4 million
Salesforce (CRM)53$27.4 million
Fox (FOXA)21$20.9 million

Totals count executives and directors only: 10% owners and single transactions above $250 million (stake deals and strategic investments) are left out. A large total with only one or two insiders is a different signal from smaller buys by many of them. Individual buys from the last 30 days, with who bought and how much, are in Exent Radar.

Which companies had the most insider selling?

Life Time Group Holdings (LTH) had the largest insider selling by value, $2.1 billion in the 12 months to Oct 20, 2026. Selling says much less than buying: insiders sell to pay taxes on vested shares, to diversify, or on a schedule set months in advance under a Rule 10b5-1 plan, and large holders sell blocks in secondary offerings.

StockSalesValue
Life Time Group Holdings (LTH)56$2.1 billion
Chevron (CVX)78$636.8 million
Twilio (TWLO)88$618.6 million
Stryker (SYK)71$586.1 million
Dollar Tree (DLTR)15$489.7 million
Amphenol (APH)23$476.8 million
Redwire (RDW)39$474.9 million
Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)34$373.7 million
CVS Health (CVS)10$345.7 million
Charles Schwab (SCHW)94$334.5 million

More on reading sales in insider selling.

How can investors read insider buying?

  • Look at who bought: an executive buying with personal money is different from a fund or parent company adding to a stake.
  • Compare the buy with the insider’s pay and holdings: a purchase that is large for that person says more than a large dollar figure.
  • Check the timing: Form 4 is filed up to two business days after the trade, so the price may already have moved.
  • Treat it as one input: the typical insider buy only roughly matched the market, so the signal needs valuation, the business and analyst views beside it.
  • Expect a long wait: the average result comes from a minority of big winners, which can take most of a year to show.

Method and caveats

  • Buys: insider purchases of $10,000 or more reported on SEC Form 4 since Feb 1, 2012 in the stocks Exent covers, 17,865 with a full 12-month result; one purchase per insider per day.
  • Returns: from the close on the trade date to the close 91 and 365 calendar days later, minus the SPY fund over the same window; prices adjusted for splits and dividends, from Exent market data. An investor could act only after the filing, up to two business days later.
  • Groups: role as stated in the filing. Cluster = three or more different insiders buying the same stock within 30 days. Big = $1 million or more; small = under $100,000.
  • Company totals: purchases and sales by executives and directors reported in the 12 months to Oct 20, 2026; 10% owners and single transactions above $250 million are left out. Individual buys from the last 30 days are not listed on this page.
  • The stock list is today’s, so companies that were acquired or delisted are missing (survivorship bias).
  • Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

How Exent tracks insider buying

  1. Radar shows insider buys, Congress trades and big‑fund moves as they are filed, with the insider’s role and the size of each buy.
  2. Gems are the stocks where several of the top‑ranked analysts agree: a second opinion next to insider buying, not a guarantee.
  3. Upload your portfolio to see what top‑rated analysts and insiders are doing in the stocks you already own.

Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

On average, yes, but the typical buy barely did: across 17,865 insider purchases reported on SEC Form 4 since Feb 1, 2012, the stock beat the S&P 500 by 17.2 percentage points on average over the next 12 months, while the median buy beat it by 1.0 percentage point and 51.4% of buys beat the index (data as of Oct 20, 2026).

By role, purchases by CFOs did best: the median buy beat the S&P 500 by 4.4 percentage points over 12 months and 55.3% beat it (819 buys), while buys by 10% owners did worst (median −2.7%, 46.5% beat it), 2012 to Oct 20, 2026.

Cluster buys, when three or more insiders bought the same stock within 30 days, beat the S&P 500 over 12 months in 52.2% of cases, against 50.9% for buys by a lone insider (6,200 and 11,665 buys since 2012).

Smaller buys did better than big ones: purchases under $100,000 beat the S&P 500 by 1.8 percentage points at the median over 12 months, while buys of $1 million or more trailed it by 2.1 percentage points (Form 4 buys since 2012).

In the 12 months to Oct 20, 2026, the largest insider buying by value was at Public Storage (PSA), $235.7 million; Coupang (CPNG), $136.6 million; Kenvue (KVUE), $111.0 million, by SEC Form 4 company totals.

Not usually on its own. Insiders sell to pay taxes on vested shares, to diversify or on pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plans, so sales carry much less information than open-market purchases, which are made for one main reason: the insider expects the stock to rise.

See insider buys as they are filed.

Radar puts insider purchases, Congress trades and big‑fund moves in one feed, with Gems from the top‑ranked analysts beside them.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.