AnalystsInsight

Patrick Moley (Piper Sandler): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Patrick Moley’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,048 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 26, 2026Updated Nov 6, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 26

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+7 new ratings (UPST, COIN, ICE)

Key takeaways

Patrick Moley ranks #265 of 1,148 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.9★).
69.8% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.1% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 74 days; 75.0% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: COIN, MIAX, HOOD, UPST.
Free on Exent: Patrick Moley’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →

In this article

Patrick Moley’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Patrick Moley covers most
Exent’s top 50 analysts
Patrick Moley’s latest ratings
More analysts to compare
How Exent scores analysts

Patrick Moley’s track record at a glance

Patrick Moley of Piper Sandler ranks #265 of the 1,148 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.9★ rating and a focus on financials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 69.8% of Patrick’s price targets were reached, 16.7 points above the 53.1% average across all analysts.

Metric	Patrick Moley	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	69.8%	53.1%
Median days to hit target	74 days	93 days
Calls up after 12 months	75.0%	64.4%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+24.4%	+13.7%
Hit rate, last 2 years	62.6%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−18.5%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,048	—
Stocks covered	28	—

The full records of Exent’s top 50 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Patrick Moley
Under 30 days	31.0%
30–90 days	25.5%
90–180 days	23.7%
Over 180 days	19.8%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Patrick Moley covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
COIN	25
MIAX	23
HOOD	23
UPST	19
BGC	19
ICE	18
IBKR	18
FIGR	18

In the past year Patrick’s ratings were 71% Buy, 26% Hold and 3% Sell.

Exent’s top 50 analysts

Across 958,671 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.1% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 14.9% of the 942 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Nov 2, 2026).

Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.

Unlock the top 50 analysts

Patrick Moley’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Nov 5, 2026	???	???	???	???
Nov 3, 2026	UPST	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$35.00
Oct 30, 2026	COIN	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$150.00
Oct 30, 2026	ICE	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$195.00
Oct 30, 2026	MIAX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$52.00
Oct 28, 2026	HOOD	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$145.00
Oct 22, 2026	CME	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$330.00
Oct 20, 2026	MARA	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$11.00
Oct 20, 2026	MARA	Rated: Buy	Buy	$11.00
Oct 20, 2026	HUT	Rated: Buy	Buy	$123.00
Oct 20, 2026	RIOT	Rated: Buy	Buy	$19.00

Nov 5, 2026
Stock
???
Action
???
Rating
???
Price target
???
Nov 3, 2026
Stock
UPST
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$35.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
COIN
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$150.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
ICE
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$195.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
MIAX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$52.00
Oct 28, 2026
Stock
HOOD
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$145.00
Oct 22, 2026
Stock
CME
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$330.00
Oct 20, 2026
Stock
MARA
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$11.00
Oct 20, 2026
Stock
MARA
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$11.00
Oct 20, 2026
Stock
HUT
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$123.00
Oct 20, 2026
Stock
RIOT
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$19.00

Patrick published 1 rating in the last 3 days, the latest on Nov 5, 2026. Patrick’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

More analysts to compare

Also at Piper Sandler: Bill Carcache · Nathan Race · Allison Bratzel · Yasmeen Rahimi · David Amsellem · David Westenberg

Also covering financials: Robert Dodd · Mark DeVries · Yaron Kinar · Jon Arfstrom · Ken Shih · Christopher Mcgratty

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Nov 2, 2026; ranking updated Nov 6, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows live ratings from the top‑ranked analysts, without the 3‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Patrick Moley ranks #265 of 1,148 with a 4.9★ rating. 69.8% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.1%), and 75.0% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

In Exent’s 7-year price-target backtest, 69.8% of Patrick Moley’s price targets were reached, with a median of 74 days to reach a target (all analysts: 53.1%).

Patrick Moley (Piper Sandler) covers 28 stocks, mostly in financials. The most frequently rated are COIN, MIAX, HOOD, UPST, BGC.

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What changed since Oct 26

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained