AnalystsInsight

Michael Lasser (UBS): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Michael Lasser’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 2,084 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 25, 2026Updated Nov 11, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Nov 2

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+3 new ratings (AAP, W)

Key takeaways

Michael Lasser ranks #100 of 1,181 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
55.4% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.1% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 103 days; 67.1% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: WMT, ULTA, HD, COST.
Free on Exent: Michael Lasser’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →

In this article

Michael Lasser’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Michael Lasser covers most
Exent’s top 50 analysts
Michael Lasser’s latest ratings
More analysts to compare
How Exent scores analysts

Michael Lasser’s track record at a glance

Michael Lasser of UBS ranks #100 of the 1,181 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on consumer discretionary. Over a 7‑year lookback, 55.4% of Michael’s price targets were reached, 2.3 points above the 53.1% average across all analysts.

Metric	Michael Lasser	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	55.4%	53.1%
Median days to hit target	103 days	93 days
Calls up after 12 months	67.1%	64.4%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+12.6%	+13.5%
Hit rate, last 2 years	55.4%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−18.7%	—
Ratings in the sample	2,084	—
Stocks covered	35	—

The full records of Exent’s top 50 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Michael Lasser
Under 30 days	17.2%
30–90 days	27.4%
90–180 days	27.2%
Over 180 days	28.1%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Michael Lasser covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
WMT	28
ULTA	27
HD	26
COST	22
FND	19
W	18
LOW	18
AAP	17

In the past year Michael’s ratings were 65% Buy, 35% Hold and 0% Sell.

Exent’s top 50 analysts

Across 983,543 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.1% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 14.3% of the 965 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Nov 9, 2026).

Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.

Unlock the top 50 analysts

Michael Lasser’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Nov 10, 2026	???	???	???	???
Nov 9, 2026	???	???	???	???
Nov 6, 2026	AAP	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$50.00
Nov 5, 2026	W	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$165.00
Nov 5, 2026	W	Rated: Buy	Buy	$165.00
Oct 30, 2026	AAP	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$47.00
Oct 30, 2026	FND	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$54.00
Oct 30, 2026	ORLY	Rated: Buy	Buy	$122.00
Oct 30, 2026	ORLY	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$122.00
Oct 26, 2026	TSCO	Rated: Hold	Hold	$37.00
Oct 26, 2026	TSCO	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$37.00
Oct 22, 2026	W	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$156.00

Nov 10, 2026
Stock
???
Action
???
Rating
???
Price target
???
Nov 9, 2026
Stock
???
Action
???
Rating
???
Price target
???
Nov 6, 2026
Stock
AAP
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$50.00
Nov 5, 2026
Stock
W
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$165.00
Nov 5, 2026
Stock
W
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$165.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
AAP
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$47.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
FND
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$54.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
ORLY
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$122.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
ORLY
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$122.00
Oct 26, 2026
Stock
TSCO
Action
Rated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$37.00
Oct 26, 2026
Stock
TSCO
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$37.00
Oct 22, 2026
Stock
W
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$156.00

Michael published 2 ratings in the last 3 days, the latest on Nov 10, 2026. Michael’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

More analysts to compare

Also at UBS: A.J. Rice · Karl Keirstead · Alex Kramm · Levi Spry · Xian Deng · Michael Ward CFA

Also covering consumer discretionary: Steven Forbes · Hillary Cacanando · Philippe Houchois · Gregory Miller · Bernie McTernan · Brian Mullan

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Nov 9, 2026; ranking updated Nov 11, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows live ratings from the top‑ranked analysts, without the 3‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Michael Lasser ranks #100 of 1,181 with a 5.0★ rating. 55.4% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.1%), and 67.1% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

In Exent’s 7-year price-target backtest, 55.4% of Michael Lasser’s price targets were reached, with a median of 103 days to reach a target (all analysts: 53.1%).

Michael Lasser (UBS) covers 35 stocks, mostly in consumer discretionary. The most frequently rated are WMT, ULTA, HD, COST, FND.

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What changed since Nov 2

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained