AnalystsInsight

Bernie McTernan (Needham): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Bernie McTernan’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 2,102 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Nov 9, 2026Updated Nov 11, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Bernie McTernan ranks #848 of 1,181 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.7★).
47.4% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.1% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 93 days; 52.3% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: APP, DKNG, SGHC, FLUT.
Free on Exent: Bernie McTernan’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →

In this article

Bernie McTernan’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Bernie McTernan covers most
Exent’s top 50 analysts
Bernie McTernan’s latest ratings
More analysts to compare
How Exent scores analysts

Bernie McTernan’s track record at a glance

Bernie McTernan of Needham ranks #848 of the 1,181 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.7★ rating and a focus on consumer discretionary. Over a 7‑year lookback, 47.4% of Bernie’s price targets were reached, 5.7 points below the 53.1% average across all analysts.

Metric	Bernie McTernan	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	47.4%	53.1%
Median days to hit target	93 days	93 days
Calls up after 12 months	52.3%	64.4%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+5.0%	+13.5%
Hit rate, last 2 years	46.0%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−30.7%	—
Ratings in the sample	2,102	—
Stocks covered	40	—

The full records of Exent’s top 50 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Bernie McTernan
Under 30 days	13.5%
30–90 days	34.8%
90–180 days	23.4%
Over 180 days	28.4%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Bernie McTernan covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
APP	32
DKNG	28
SGHC	18
FLUT	17
RBLX	16
SRAD	16
RSI	15
COMP	15

In the past year Bernie’s ratings were 75% Buy, 25% Hold and 0% Sell.

Exent’s top 50 analysts

Across 983,543 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.1% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 14.3% of the 965 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Nov 9, 2026).

Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.

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Bernie McTernan’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Nov 9, 2026	???	???	???	???
Nov 4, 2026	LIME	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$29.00
Oct 30, 2026	DASH	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$235.00
Oct 30, 2026	FVRR	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	—
Oct 30, 2026	RBLX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$55.00
Oct 30, 2026	CART	Downgraded: Hold	Hold	—
Oct 29, 2026	EBAY	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$140.00
Oct 29, 2026	RSI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$25.00
Oct 29, 2026	ETSY	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$110.00
Oct 6, 2026	APP	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$475.00
Sep 18, 2026	DKNG	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$35.00
Sep 10, 2026	CHWY	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	—

Nov 9, 2026
Stock
???
Action
???
Rating
???
Price target
???
Nov 4, 2026
Stock
LIME
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$29.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
DASH
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$235.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
FVRR
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
—
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
RBLX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$55.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
CART
Action
Downgraded: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
—
Oct 29, 2026
Stock
EBAY
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$140.00
Oct 29, 2026
Stock
RSI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$25.00
Oct 29, 2026
Stock
ETSY
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$110.00
Oct 6, 2026
Stock
APP
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$475.00
Sep 18, 2026
Stock
DKNG
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$35.00
Sep 10, 2026
Stock
CHWY
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
—

Bernie published 1 rating in the last 3 days, the latest on Nov 9, 2026. Bernie’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

More analysts to compare

Also at Needham: Serge Belanger · Laura Martin · Gil Blum · Matthew Calitri · Ami Fadia · James Ricchiuti

Also covering consumer discretionary: Brian Mullan · John Staszak · Paul Lejuez · Charles Grom · Greg Melich · Jon Tower

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Nov 9, 2026; ranking updated Nov 11, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows live ratings from the top‑ranked analysts, without the 3‑day delay used on this page.
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Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Bernie McTernan ranks #848 of 1,181 with a 4.7★ rating. 47.4% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.1%), and 52.3% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

In Exent’s 7-year price-target backtest, 47.4% of Bernie McTernan’s price targets were reached, with a median of 93 days to reach a target (all analysts: 53.1%).

Bernie McTernan (Needham) covers 40 stocks, mostly in consumer discretionary. The most frequently rated are APP, DKNG, SGHC, FLUT, RBLX.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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