AnalystsInsight

Greg Melich (Evercore ISI): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Greg Melich’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,572 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Nov 9, 2026Updated Nov 10, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Greg Melich ranks #906 of 1,181 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.6★).
58.6% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.1% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 82 days; 60.7% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: COST, WMT, TGT, ORLY.
Free on Exent: Greg Melich’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Which stocks do Wall Street’s best‑ranked analysts agree on? See them in Exent Gems →

In this article

Greg Melich’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Greg Melich covers most
Exent’s top 50 analysts
Greg Melich’s latest ratings
More analysts to compare
How Exent scores analysts

Greg Melich’s track record at a glance

Greg Melich of Evercore ISI ranks #906 of the 1,181 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.6★ rating and a focus on consumer discretionary. Over a 7‑year lookback, 58.6% of Greg’s price targets were reached, 5.5 points above the 53.1% average across all analysts.

Metric	Greg Melich	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	58.6%	53.1%
Median days to hit target	82 days	93 days
Calls up after 12 months	60.7%	64.4%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+6.2%	+13.5%
Hit rate, last 2 years	61.3%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−15.5%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,572	—
Stocks covered	22	—

The full records of Exent’s top 50 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Greg Melich
Under 30 days	26.2%
30–90 days	29.0%
90–180 days	26.8%
Over 180 days	18.1%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Greg Melich covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
COST	48
WMT	42
TGT	37
ORLY	28
BBY	27
FND	26
ASO	26
LOW	24

In the past year Greg’s ratings were 52% Buy, 48% Hold and 0% Sell.

Exent’s top 50 analysts

Across 983,543 ratings, the average Wall Street analyst’s price target was reached 53.1% of the time: close to a coin flip. The spread between analysts is wide, and 14.3% of the 965 analysts with a measurable record reached 70% or more (Exent data, Nov 9, 2026).

Exent Gems is built on the top 50 of Exent’s ranking. Over the last two years, some of them reached 90% or more of their price targets. Who they are, which stocks they are calling now and how often they have been right is for members.

Unlock the top 50 analysts

Greg Melich’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Nov 5, 2026	COST	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1100.00
Oct 30, 2026	FND	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$55.00
Oct 30, 2026	ORLY	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$110.00
Oct 27, 2026	BJ	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$110.00
Oct 27, 2026	SFM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$85.00
Oct 27, 2026	BBY	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$100.00
Oct 26, 2026	KR	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$70.00
Oct 26, 2026	ORLY	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$110.00

Nov 5, 2026
Stock
COST
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1100.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
FND
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$55.00
Oct 30, 2026
Stock
ORLY
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$110.00
Oct 27, 2026
Stock
BJ
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$110.00
Oct 27, 2026
Stock
SFM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$85.00
Oct 27, 2026
Stock
BBY
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$100.00
Oct 26, 2026
Stock
KR
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$70.00
Oct 26, 2026
Stock
ORLY
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$110.00

Greg’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

More analysts to compare

Also at Evercore ISI: Vijay Kumar · Vedvati Shrotre · Glenn Schorr · Peter Levine · Kirk Materne · Duane Pfennigwerth

Also covering consumer discretionary: Jon Tower · Mauricio Serna · Michael Baker · Rafe Jadrosich · Chris O`Cull · Joseph Stauff

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Nov 9, 2026; ranking updated Nov 11, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Gems shows live ratings from the top‑ranked analysts, without the 3‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

See this week’s Gems

Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Greg Melich ranks #906 of 1,181 with a 4.6★ rating. 58.6% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.1%), and 60.7% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

In Exent’s 7-year price-target backtest, 58.6% of Greg Melich’s price targets were reached, with a median of 82 days to reach a target (all analysts: 53.1%).

Greg Melich (Evercore ISI) covers 22 stocks, mostly in consumer discretionary. The most frequently rated are COST, WMT, TGT, ORLY, BBY.

: .-++++=: .-=+**+-. .:=+*#*=:..::-+##*+-:. .-+**+++=:. .:::-=+**********++===++***+++*###*+=--:. .:==+*#*+-:..::-+##*+-:. :=**++=: .-=+**+-. .:=+*#*-...: . -++*+=: .:=+**+-. .:-+*#*=:..::=+##*=-:...:=***++=:. .:-=+*###*++==--:::::::...:---==+*##**++=-. .:-=+###*=-:...-+**++=: :=++*+-. :-=***=:..:-=*##+-..: :=+*++-. :=++*+=. :-=*#*+-..::=+##*=-:...-+*#*+=-. :-=+*###*+=--:. .... .::..:-=+++****=-:..::-=*#*+=-: .-=++++=. .-=+**+-...:=+##*=:.::-+##*=::. .-++++=: .-=+**=: .-=+*#+-...:-+##*=-::.:-+##*+=:. .-=++***+=-:::.. ..:-----:::::::. .:-=+*###*=-:.. :=+**++-. .-=+**+-. .:-+*##+:..:-=*##+-:..:=*#*+-:. :=+*++-. :=+**+-. .:=+*#*-...:-+*##+-:.::-+##*=-:. :=++**++-:...::::-==+++++****++===-:....:::-+*#*+==:. .-=+**+-. .:-=*##+-:.::-+##*=::.:-+##*=-:..-+#*+=:. .-++++=: .-++**=: :-=***=:..:-=*##+-:.::-+##*=-:...:=***++-: .:-==*###**+**####*******+=-::...:-+**++=-. :-=+##*-:..:-+###+-:..:=*#*+-:..:=*#*=-: :=**+=-. :=++++-. :=+**+-. .-=+**+-...-=+##*-:.::-+##*=-:...-+***+=-. .:-=+*####*+==========++*###*+=-:. .-=+***+-...:-=*##+-::.:-*##+=-:..-+#*+=-. .-+**+=: .-++++=: :=+*+=: .-=+**=: :-+***=: .:-+*#*=:..:-+###+-::.:-+##*=-:. .-=++****+---::. .::::--+****++=-. .:-+*##+-::.:-+##*=-:..:=*#*+-: .=**++-. :=+*++-. :=+**+: -++*+=. :=+**+-. .-=+**+-..:-=*##+-..:-=*##+-::.:-+##*=-:. :=+++*++-:...:.. ...:.. .:-=+**#*=:..::-+##*+-:...-+#*+=-. -+**+=: .-++*+=: .-++*+=. :=+**+- =+**+- .-=+**=: :-=*#*=:..:-+*#*=:.::-+##*=::.:-+##*=-:. .-+**++=-: .::---====---:. .::-=*##*=-:...-+##+=-: :=+*++-. .=++++-. :=+**+-. .-=+**+: .:-=*#*= =+**=: :-=***=. .:=+*#+-..:-=*##+-..:-=*##+-:.::=*##+-:...-+**++=:. .:-==+*###*+++++=-:..:::=*##*=-:. .-+**+=: -=+*+=: .-=+**=: :-=*#*=. .:=+*#+-..:-=*##+ =+**=. .:=+**+-. .-=*##+:..:-+*#*=:.::-+##*-::::=*##+=::..-+##*=-: :-=++*###**+++*###*=-::. .-+**+=-. :=++*+=. :-+**+-. .:=+*#+-..:-=*##+:..:-+##*=:.::=*##+ +**+-. .-=+**+:..:-+*#*=:..:=+##+-:.:-=*##+-:.:-+##*=-:..:+*#*=-:. .:=++***+=------=+*##*+=-. .-++*+=: .-=+**+: .-=*#*=:..:-+*#*=:.::=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:-*##+ +**+-. :-=*#*=:..:-+##*-..:-=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:-*##+-:..:=*#*+-:. .-+**++=-:. ..:...:-=+*++=-. :-+***=. .:-+*#*-...:=+##+-..:-=*#*=::::-+##+-::.:=*#*=-:..-+##+ +*#+:..:-+*#*=:..:=*##+-:.:-+##*=::::-*##+-:..:=*#*=-:..:+##+=-. .:+**++-: .::::. :-++**+:. .-=+##+:..:-=*#*=:..:-+##*-::::=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:=*#*+-:..:+##+ *##+:..:-+##*-:.::=*##+-:::-+##*=::.:=*##+-:..-+##*=-...-*#*+-:. .=***+-: :-====-: .:-+*#*=:..:-+##*-:.::=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:=*##+-:..:+##+=-...-*#*+-:. :+**+ *##=:..:-+##*-:.::=*##=-:.:-+##+-:..:=*#*=-:..-+##+=:. :=*#*=-: :+**+=:. .-=++**#*+-..:-=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:=*##+-:..:+##*=-:..-*#*+-:..:+**+=-. .-***+-: :=**+ *##=::::-+##+-::::=##*=-:.:-*##+-:..:=##*=-:..-+#*+-:. :=**+=-. .-+**+=: :=+*+++##*=::::=*##+-:.::+##*=-:.:-*##+-:..:+##*=-...-*#*+-: :=**+=-. .-+*++-. :=+*+ ##*=::.:-*##+-:..:=##*=-:..-*#*+-:..:=*#+=-. .-+**+-: :=**+=-. .-+*++=. :=++++*##*=::.:=*##+-:..:+##*=-:..-*#*+-:..:+**+=-. .-***+-: :=**+=: .-+*++-. :=+++ ##*=-:..-*##+-:..:=*#*=-...-+#*+-:. :=**+=-. .-+**+=: .=+*+=-. -=+*+=: .-=+*###*=-:..:=*#*=-:..-+##+=:...=*#*=-: :+**+=:. .-+*++-. :=**+=: .-++++-. :=+** ##*=-:..-+#*+-:. :=**+=-. .-+**+=: .=**+=-. :++++=: .-++*+-. :=+**+-. .:--=++=-:::.:-*##+=:...-*#*+-:. :=**+=-. -+**+=: .=+*+=-. :=+++=: .-++*+-. .-=+** *#*=-: .-+**+=:. .=**+=-. :+**+=: .-++++-. :=+**+: .-=+**=: :-=+##+-:...........::-+##*=-:..:=*#*=-. :+**+=:. .-+*++-. :=+*+=- .-++*+=. :=+**+- .-=+** ***=-. :+**+=: .-+*++-. :=+++=: .-=+*+=. :-+**+-. .:=+*#*-:..:-+*##*=--:. .:--=*##*=-:...-*#*+=:. .-+**+-: .=+*+=-. :=+*+=: .-++*+-. :=+**+: :-=*** +*++-. :=+*+=: .-++*+=. :=+**+-. .:=+**+: :-=*#*+:..:-=*##+-::.:-=*##*+==------==+*##*=-:...-+##+=-. :+**+=-. :++*+=: .-++*+=. :=+**+-. .-=+**=: .:-+*#* ++++=: :=++*+-. .:=+**=: .-=***=. .:-+*#*-...:=+##*=::::-+##*+-:.. .-++++**##***++**#*+-::..:-+##*=-:. .=***+=: .-+*++-. :=++*+-. .-=+**+: :-=*#*=. .:=+##+ =+*+=: .-++**=. .:=+**+-. .-=+##+-..:-=*##+-:.:-=*##+-:...-+##*+=:. .:-==+*###**++++=-:..:::=*##*=-:. .-+**+=:. :=+*+=: .-=+**=: .-=***=. .:=+*#+-..:-=*##+ =+**+-. .-=+**=:..:-+*#*=:..:-+##*=:.::-+##*=::..-+##*=-:. .-++*+++-: .::::--====--:. .::-+*##*=-:. .-+**+=-. :=+*++-. :=++*+-. .:=+**+-. .-=+##+:..:-+*#*= -+*#*=...:=+##+-..:-=*##+-:.:-=###+-:..:=*#*+-:. .-+**+=-. .:=++*#*+-:::.. .::.. .:--=+###*=-:...-+**+=-: .-+*++=: .-=+**=: .-=+**=: .:-+*#*=:..:=+##*- -=*##=:..:-+##*=::::-+##*=::..-*##+=-. .-+**+=-. .-++**+-. .:-=*###*+=--:.....:::..:--=++*##*+-::..:-+##*=-: .-+**+=-. :=+**+-. .:=+*#+-...-=+##+-..:-=*##+- :=*##+-::::=*##+-:..:=*#*=-:. :=***+-: .-++++=-. :-=+*#*=:..:::-=****++*+++======++********=-:..::-=*##*=-:. .-+**++-. .-++**=: :-=***=:..:-=*#*=:..:-+##*=: :-+##*=-:..-+##+=-. .-+**+=:. :++*++-. :-++**+-. .:-=*##*+--:. .:==++*####**++*####**++==:. .:--+###*=-:. .-+**++-: .-=+**+: .-=+*#+-...-=+##+-..:-=*##+-: .:=*#*=-:. :=**+=-: :=+*++-. .-=+**+:. .:-+*##+-:::::=+##*+=-:. .:--==+**++++****+==--: :--=*###+=-:...-+**++-: .-=+**+-. :-+***=:..:-+*#*=:..:-+##*=:: .-+**+=:. .-+**+=: .-=+**+-. .:-+*#*+:..::-+###+=-:. .:=+***++=-:........::-----::::::.. :-==+*##*=-::..:=*#*+=-: .:=++++-. :-=+**+:..:-=*##+-..:-=*##+-:: :=+*++-. :=++*+=. :-=***+-..::=+##*=-::.:-+*#*+=-: :-=+*###*+=--:. ..:. .:::::-=+++****=-:..::-=*##+=-:. .-=+*++=: .-=+**+-. .:=+##*=:.::-+##*=::. .-=+**=: .-=+**+-...:-+##*=-::::=*##*=-:. .:=+*+++=:. .::-=+*##**++==--::::::...::---=+**#**+++=:. ..:-=+###+=-:. .-+**++=: .-=+**+-. .:-+*#*=:..:-=*##+-::: . :-+***=:..:-=*##+-:.::=*##*=-:..:-+**+=-: :-=+*#*+=:::...:-=++++*###**++=+++++++++**###*+==-:. .:-=+*##*+-::...-+**++-: .:=+**+=. :-=*##+-..::=*##*-::.:

Get the picks Wall Street’s best analysts agree on.

Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.

See this week’s GemsLimited offer$1.95 for full access· full access

Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained