AnalystsInsight

Rafe Jadrosich (Bank of America Securities): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Rafe Jadrosich’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,065 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 20, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+3 new ratings (JHX, LEN, ASX-JHX)

Key takeaways

Rafe Jadrosich ranks #914 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.5★).
63.9% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 71 days; 52.8% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: TOL, PHM, SGI, LEN.
Free on Exent: Rafe Jadrosich’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

Rafe Jadrosich’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Rafe Jadrosich covers most
Rafe Jadrosich’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Rafe Jadrosich’s track record at a glance

Rafe Jadrosich of Bank of America Securities ranks #914 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.5★ rating and a focus on consumer discretionary. Over a 7‑year lookback, 63.9% of Rafe’s price targets were reached, 11.5 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Rafe Jadrosich	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	63.9%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	71 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	52.8%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+4.1%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	55.1%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−21.7%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,065	—
Stocks covered	29	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Rafe Jadrosich
Under 30 days	25.7%
30–90 days	34.3%
90–180 days	29.1%
Over 180 days	10.9%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Rafe Jadrosich covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
TOL	34
PHM	28
SGI	25
LEN	24
KBH	24
NVR	22
SDHC	21
MHK	20

In the past year Rafe’s ratings were 49% Buy, 22% Hold and 29% Sell.

Rafe Jadrosich’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 16, 2026	JHX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$0.00
Sep 15, 2026	LEN	Rated: Sell	Sell	$70.00
Sep 15, 2026	ASX-JHX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$48.00
Sep 11, 2026	WHR	Rated: Sell	Sell	$31.00
Sep 3, 2026	SGI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$81.00
Aug 31, 2026	HAYW	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$0.00
Aug 31, 2026	SGI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$0.00
Aug 26, 2026	SGI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$78.00
Aug 26, 2026	HAYW	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$18.00
Aug 19, 2026	TOL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$180.00
Aug 15, 2026	TOL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$180.00
Aug 7, 2026	SGI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$0.00

Sep 16, 2026
Stock
JHX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00
Sep 15, 2026
Stock
LEN
Action
Rated: Sell
Rating
Sell
Price target
$70.00
Sep 15, 2026
Stock
ASX-JHX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$48.00
Sep 11, 2026
Stock
WHR
Action
Rated: Sell
Rating
Sell
Price target
$31.00
Sep 3, 2026
Stock
SGI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$81.00
Aug 31, 2026
Stock
HAYW
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00
Aug 31, 2026
Stock
SGI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00
Aug 26, 2026
Stock
SGI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$78.00
Aug 26, 2026
Stock
HAYW
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$18.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
TOL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$180.00
Aug 15, 2026
Stock
TOL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$180.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
SGI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00

Rafe’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Rafe Jadrosich’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Rafe Jadrosich ranks #914 of 1,000 with a 4.5★ rating. 63.9% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 52.8% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Rafe Jadrosich’s success rate is 53.0% by the ranking source and 63.9% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 71 days to reach a target.

Rafe Jadrosich (Bank of America Securities) covers 29 stocks, mostly in consumer discretionary. The most frequently rated are TOL, PHM, SGI, LEN, KBH.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained