AnalystsInsight

UBS Analysts: Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How accurate UBS’s equity analysts have been: hit rates, returns after their calls and the firm’s top‑ranked analysts, from Exent’s 7‑year backtest.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 13, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

35 UBS analysts are in Exent’s ranking of the top 1,000; 35 rate 4★ or higher and 2 rate 5★.
Their median price‑target hit rate is 55.0% (all analysts: 52.4%).
A median 66.1% of their calls were up 12 months later.
Main sectors covered: Financials, Technology, Industrials, Energy.

In this article

UBS’s top‑ranked analysts
How this is measured

UBS’s top‑ranked analysts

Analyst	Sector	Stars	Hit rate	Calls up after 12 months
Timothy Arcuri	Technology	5.0★	66.7%	70.9%

Analyst	Timothy Arcuri
Sector	Technology
Stars	5.0★
Hit rate	66.7%
Calls up after 12 months	70.9%

How this is measured

Firm figures are medians across the firm’s analysts in Exent’s ranking, so one star analyst does not carry the whole firm. Each analyst’s record is a 7‑year replay of their rated price targets. See all ranked analysts.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Frequently asked questions

Across 35 UBS analysts in Exent’s ranking, the median price-target hit rate was 55.0% over a 7-year lookback, against 52.4% for all analysts. 35 of them rate 4★ or higher.

By Exent’s ranking, Timothy Arcuri (Technology) ranks highest at UBS, at #2 overall with a 66.7% price-target hit rate.

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Key takeaways

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines