AnalystsInsight

Thomas Wadewitz (UBS): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Thomas Wadewitz’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,032 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 18, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+2 new ratings (JBHT, UNP)1 upgrade

Key takeaways

Thomas Wadewitz ranks #934 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.5★).
55.0% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 90 days; 64.3% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: FDX, CHRW, UPS, RXO.
Free on Exent: Thomas Wadewitz’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

Thomas Wadewitz’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Thomas Wadewitz covers most
Thomas Wadewitz’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Thomas Wadewitz’s track record at a glance

Thomas Wadewitz of UBS ranks #934 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.5★ rating and a focus on industrials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 55.0% of Thomas’s price targets were reached, 2.6 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Thomas Wadewitz	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	55.0%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	90 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	64.3%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+8.5%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	68.9%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−15.3%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,032	—
Stocks covered	32	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Thomas Wadewitz
Under 30 days	25.6%
30–90 days	25.2%
90–180 days	24.8%
Over 180 days	24.4%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Thomas Wadewitz covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
FDX	45
CHRW	28
UPS	26
RXO	23
ARCB	22
DAL	17
EXPD	16
XPO	16

In the past year Thomas’s ratings were 54% Buy, 46% Hold and 0% Sell.

Thomas Wadewitz’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 17, 2026	JBHT	Rated: Hold	Hold	$264.00
Sep 16, 2026	UNP	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$339.00
Aug 7, 2026	RXO	Rated: Hold	Hold	$23.00
Aug 6, 2026	GXO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$64.00
Aug 6, 2026	HTLD	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$13.00
Aug 5, 2026	EXPD	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$210.00
Aug 5, 2026	SNDR	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$34.00
Aug 3, 2026	ARCB	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$154.00
Jul 31, 2026	SAIA	Rated: Buy	Buy	$504.00
Jul 30, 2026	ODFL	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$228.00
Jul 29, 2026	LSTR	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$195.00
Jul 29, 2026	UPS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$124.00

Sep 17, 2026
Stock
JBHT
Action
Rated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$264.00
Sep 16, 2026
Stock
UNP
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$339.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
RXO
Action
Rated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$23.00
Aug 6, 2026
Stock
GXO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$64.00
Aug 6, 2026
Stock
HTLD
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$13.00
Aug 5, 2026
Stock
EXPD
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$210.00
Aug 5, 2026
Stock
SNDR
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$34.00
Aug 3, 2026
Stock
ARCB
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$154.00
Jul 31, 2026
Stock
SAIA
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$504.00
Jul 30, 2026
Stock
ODFL
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$228.00
Jul 29, 2026
Stock
LSTR
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$195.00
Jul 29, 2026
Stock
UPS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$124.00

Thomas’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Thomas Wadewitz’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Thomas Wadewitz ranks #934 of 1,000 with a 4.5★ rating. 55.0% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 64.3% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Thomas Wadewitz’s success rate is 53.4% by the ranking source and 55.0% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 90 days to reach a target.

Thomas Wadewitz (UBS) covers 32 stocks, mostly in industrials. The most frequently rated are FDX, CHRW, UPS, RXO, ARCB.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained