How often Harlan Sur’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,077 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.
Harlan Sur of J.P. Morgan ranks #14 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 59.5% of Harlan’s price targets were reached, 7.1 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.
| Metric | Harlan Sur | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | 59.5% | 52.4% |
| Median days to hit target | 80 days | 91 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | 71.6% | 64.0% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +21.9% | +13.4% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | 74.5% | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | −18.5% | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 1,077 | — |
| Stocks covered | 25 | — |
| Time to reach the target | Harlan Sur |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | 24.7% |
| 30–90 days | 31.2% |
| 90–180 days | 22.0% |
| Over 180 days | 22.0% |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
In the past year Harlan’s ratings were 82% Buy, 14% Hold and 4% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | AVGO | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $580.00 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | NVDA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $320.00 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | SNPS | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $600.00 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | MRVL | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $305.00 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AVGO | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $500.00 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | SNPS | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $600.00 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | NVDA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $320.00 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | NVDA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $280.00 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | MRVL | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | ADI | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $500.00 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | AMAT | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | MRVL | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
Live ratings from Harlan Sur and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 12, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring Harlan Sur ranks #14 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 59.5% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 71.6% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Harlan Sur’s success rate is 72.4% by the ranking source and 59.5% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 80 days to reach a target.
Harlan Sur (J.P. Morgan) covers 25 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are NVDA, AVGO, MRVL, KLAC, MU.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.