Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
Brian Drab is one of the top‑ranked analysts in Exent’s 7‑year backtest. What Brian covers, how Brian’s ratings lean, how fast price targets were reached and the ratings from before the last 30 days; the full record and the newest calls are members‑only.
Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.
Brian Drab of William Blair ranks among the top 50 industrials analysts in Exent’s ranking, with a focus on industrials. The top of the ranking is what Exent Gems follows, so Brian’s exact rank, hit rate and live calls are for members.
| Metric | Brian Drab | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Exent rank | — | |
| Price‑target hit rate | 53.6% | |
| Calls up after 12 months | 64.6% | |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +13.4% | |
| Median days to hit target | 91 days | |
| Stocks covered | 18 | — |
| Time to reach the target | Brian Drab |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | — |
| 30–90 days | — |
| 90–180 days | — |
| Over 180 days | — |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
NOVT · XMTR · MOD · GNRC · NVT · SSYS · KRNT · ENS
In the past year Brian’s ratings were 67% Buy, 33% Hold and 0% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | ||||
| Sep 28, 2026 | ||||
| Sep 17, 2026 | GNRC | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | DCI | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | DDD | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | ENS | Rated: Hold | Hold | $0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SSYS | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $0.00 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | KRNT | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | ZBRA | Rated: Hold | Hold | $0.00 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | NOVT | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | XMTR | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | PRLB | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $0.00 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | NVT | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NOVT | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
Brian published 2 ratings in the last 30 days, the latest on Oct 5, 2026. Ratings from the last 30 days are members‑only in Exent Gems, with the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree; older ratings are shown in full.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 21, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring, Brian Drab ranks among the top 50 industrials analysts in Exent’s ranking, based on a 7-year backtest of price-target hit rate, returns after calls and number of ratings. The exact rank, hit rate and live calls are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Brian Drab’s price-target hit rate is part of the members-only record in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). For comparison, the average analyst’s price targets were reached 53.6% of the time.
Brian Drab (William Blair) covers 18 stocks, mostly in industrials. The most frequently rated are NOVT, XMTR, MOD, GNRC, NVT.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.