AnalystsInsight

Brian Chin (Stifel Nicolaus): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Brian Chin’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 626 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 15, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Brian Chin ranks #52 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
74.1% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 58 days; 73.3% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: ONTO, MU, AMAT, LRCX.

In this article

Brian Chin’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Brian Chin covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Brian Chin’s track record at a glance

Brian Chin of Stifel Nicolaus ranks #52 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 74.1% of Brian’s price targets were reached, 21.7 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Brian Chin	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	74.1%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	58 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	73.3%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+31.5%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	75.9%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−18.2%	—
Ratings in the sample	626	—
Stocks covered	13	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Brian Chin
Under 30 days	32.8%
30–90 days	34.6%
90–180 days	17.6%
Over 180 days	15.0%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Brian Chin covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
ONTO	48
MU	39
AMAT	37
LRCX	36
ICHR	34
KLAC	34
FORM	32
AEIS	31

In the past year Brian’s ratings were 79% Buy, 21% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Aug 14, 2026	AMAT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$650.00
Aug 10, 2026	CAMT	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$170.00
Aug 10, 2026	CAMT	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$170.00
Aug 7, 2026	ONTO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$350.00
Aug 5, 2026	AMAT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$650.00
Aug 5, 2026	AMAT	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$650.00
Aug 4, 2026	SKHY	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$240.00
Aug 4, 2026	AEIS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$385.00
Aug 4, 2026	ICHR	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$115.00
Aug 4, 2026	ICHR	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$115.00
Jul 31, 2026	FORM	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$115.00
Jul 31, 2026	COHU	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$70.00

Aug 14, 2026
Stock
AMAT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$650.00
Aug 10, 2026
Stock
CAMT
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$170.00
Aug 10, 2026
Stock
CAMT
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$170.00
Aug 7, 2026
Stock
ONTO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$350.00
Aug 5, 2026
Stock
AMAT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$650.00
Aug 5, 2026
Stock
AMAT
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$650.00
Aug 4, 2026
Stock
SKHY
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$240.00
Aug 4, 2026
Stock
AEIS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$385.00
Aug 4, 2026
Stock
ICHR
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$115.00
Aug 4, 2026
Stock
ICHR
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$115.00
Jul 31, 2026
Stock
FORM
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$115.00
Jul 31, 2026
Stock
COHU
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$70.00

Live ratings from Brian Chin and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 15, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Stocks Radar shows Brian Chin’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Brian Chin ranks #52 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 74.1% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 73.3% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Brian Chin’s success rate is 66.7% by the ranking source and 74.1% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 58 days to reach a target.

Brian Chin (Stifel Nicolaus) covers 13 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are ONTO, MU, AMAT, LRCX, ICHR.

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Key takeaways

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