Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
How accurate Stifel Nicolaus’s equity analysts have been: hit rates, returns after their calls and the firm’s top‑ranked analysts, from Exent’s 7‑year backtest.
| Analyst | Sector | Stars | Hit rate | Calls up after 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Roy | Technology | 5.0★ | 74.6% | 74.8% |
| Ingrid Rico | Materials | 5.0★ | — | — |
| Selman Akyol | Energy | 5.0★ | 45.3% | 77.3% |
| Brian Chin | Technology | 5.0★ | 74.1% | 73.3% |
Firm figures are medians across the firm’s analysts in Exent’s ranking, so one star analyst does not carry the whole firm. Each analyst’s record is a 7‑year replay of their rated price targets. See all ranked analysts.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Across 23 Stifel Nicolaus analysts in Exent’s ranking, the median price-target hit rate was 52.4% over a 7-year lookback, against 52.4% for all analysts. 23 of them rate 4★ or higher.
By Exent’s ranking, Ruben Roy (Technology) ranks highest at Stifel Nicolaus, at #12 overall with a 74.6% price-target hit rate.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.