Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
How often Eric Heath’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 556 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.
Eric Heath of KeyBanc ranks #119 of the 1,121 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 66.9% of Eric’s price targets were reached, 13.3 points above the 53.6% average across all analysts.
| Metric | Eric Heath | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | 66.9% | 53.6% |
| Median days to hit target | 101 days | 91 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | 57.8% | 64.6% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +14.4% | +13.4% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | 69.6% | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | −25.7% | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 556 | — |
| Stocks covered | 19 | — |
The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.
| Time to reach the target | Eric Heath |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | 19.1% |
| 30–90 days | 22.4% |
| 90–180 days | 33.6% |
| Over 180 days | 24.9% |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
In the past year Eric’s ratings were 80% Buy, 18% Hold and 2% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | ||||
| Oct 2, 2026 | ||||
| Sep 24, 2026 | ||||
| Sep 4, 2026 | ZS | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.00 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | RBRK | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $120.00 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | CRWD | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $245.00 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | OKTA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $190.00 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | RBRK | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $112.00 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | ZS | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $210.00 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | OKTA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $180.00 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | NTSK | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $17.50 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | CRWD | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $240.00 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | DT | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $61.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | VRNS | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $0.00 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | RBRK | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $100.00 |
Eric published 3 ratings in the last 30 days, the latest on Oct 16, 2026. Ratings from the last 30 days are members‑only in Exent Gems, with the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree; older ratings are shown in full.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 21, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring Eric Heath ranks #119 of 1,121 with a 5.0★ rating. 66.9% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.6%), and 57.8% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Eric Heath’s success rate is 77.1% by the ranking source and 66.9% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 101 days to reach a target.
Eric Heath (KeyBanc) covers 19 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are SNOW, OKTA, RBRK, ZS, CRWD.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.