Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
How often Hiroshi Taguchi’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 0 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.
Hiroshi Taguchi of Macquarie ranks #146 of the 1,121 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.9★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, — of Hiroshi’s price targets were reached, the 53.6% average across all analysts.
| Metric | Hiroshi Taguchi | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | — | 53.6% |
| Median days to hit target | — | 91 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | — | 64.6% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | — | +13.4% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | — | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | — | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 0 | — |
| Stocks covered | 15 | — |
The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.
| Time to reach the target | Hiroshi Taguchi |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | — |
| 30–90 days | — |
| 90–180 days | — |
| Over 180 days | — |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
| Stock | Ratings in the sample |
|---|---|
| TYO-4062 | 40 |
| TYO-6504 | 30 |
| TYO-6762 | 21 |
| TYO-6981 | 21 |
| TYO-6594 | 21 |
| TYO-6479 | 19 |
| TYO-6963 | 19 |
| TYO-6806 | 18 |
In the past year Hiroshi’s ratings were 54% Buy, 46% Hold and 0% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | TYO-4062 | Maintained | Buy | $9600.00 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TYO-6971 | Downgraded: Hold | Hold | $2700.00 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TYO-6806 | Maintained | Hold → Buy | $28000.00 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TYO-6806 | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $28000.00 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TYO-6806 | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $28000.00 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | TYO-6971 | Downgraded | Buy → Hold | $2700.00 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | TYO-6976 | Maintained | Hold | $3600.00 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | TYO-6976 | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $3600.00 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | TYO-6976 | Maintained: Hold | Hold | $3600.00 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | TYO-6479 | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $3500.00 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | TYO-6479 | Maintained | Hold | $3500.00 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | TYO-6479 | Maintained: Hold | Hold | $3500.00 |
Ratings from the last 30 days are members‑only in Exent Gems, with the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree; older ratings are shown in full.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 21, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring Hiroshi Taguchi ranks #146 of 1,121 with a 4.9★ rating. — of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.6%), and — of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Hiroshi Taguchi’s success rate is 66.7% by the ranking source and — by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of — days to reach a target.
Hiroshi Taguchi (Macquarie) covers 15 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are TYO-4062, TYO-6504, TYO-6762, TYO-6981, TYO-6594.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.