Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
Lance Vitanza is one of the top‑ranked analysts in Exent’s 7‑year backtest. What Lance covers, how Lance’s ratings lean, how fast price targets were reached and the ratings from before the last 30 days; the full record and the newest calls are members‑only.
Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.
Lance Vitanza of TD Cowen ranks among the top 50 communication services analysts in Exent’s ranking, with a focus on communication services. The top of the ranking is what Exent Gems follows, so Lance’s exact rank, hit rate and live calls are for members.
| Metric | Lance Vitanza | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Exent rank | — | |
| Price‑target hit rate | 52.4% | |
| Calls up after 12 months | 64.0% | |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +13.4% | |
| Median days to hit target | 91 days | |
| Stocks covered | 26 | — |
| Time to reach the target | Lance Vitanza |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | 27.5% |
| 30–90 days | 27.5% |
| 90–180 days | 21.1% |
| Over 180 days | 23.9% |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
MSTR · DKNG · FWONA · TKO · NSSC · CCO · CZR · INSG
In the past year Lance’s ratings were 92% Buy, 8% Hold and 0% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | LON-SWC | Rated: Buy | Buy | $73.00 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | MSTR | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $260.00 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | ASST | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $32.00 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | NSSC | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $55.00 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | OPRA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $33.00 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NAKA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $17.00 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CODI | Rated: Buy | Buy | $18.00 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | DKNG | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $35.00 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LAMR | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $170.00 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FWONA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $107.00 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | OUT | Rated: Buy | Buy | $40.00 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | INSG | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $9.00 |
Ratings from the last 30 days are members‑only in Exent Gems, with the stocks where several top‑ranked analysts agree; older ratings are shown in full.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring, Lance Vitanza ranks among the top 50 communication services analysts in Exent’s ranking, based on a 7-year backtest of price-target hit rate, returns after calls and number of ratings. The exact rank, hit rate and live calls are members-only in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Lance Vitanza’s price-target hit rate is part of the members-only record in Exent Gems (exent.ai/radar). For comparison, the average analyst’s price targets were reached 52.4% of the time.
Lance Vitanza (TD Cowen) covers 26 stocks, mostly in communication services. The most frequently rated are MSTR, DKNG, FWONA, TKO, NSSC.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.