AnalystsInsight

Timothy Arcuri (UBS): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Timothy Arcuri’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,470 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 12, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Timothy Arcuri ranks #3 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
66.7% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 61 days; 70.9% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: MU, NVDA, AVGO, AMAT.

In this article

Timothy Arcuri’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Timothy Arcuri covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Timothy Arcuri’s track record at a glance

Timothy Arcuri of UBS ranks #3 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 66.7% of Timothy’s price targets were reached, 14.3 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Timothy Arcuri	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	66.7%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	61 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	70.9%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+33.5%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	83.8%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−17.4%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,470	—
Stocks covered	31	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Timothy Arcuri
Under 30 days	31.2%
30–90 days	34.2%
90–180 days	18.0%
Over 180 days	16.7%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Timothy Arcuri covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
MU	43
NVDA	32
AVGO	22
AMAT	18
AMD	18
LRCX	17
KLAC	17
INTC	17

In the past year Timothy’s ratings were 73% Buy, 27% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 4, 2026	AVGO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$470.00
Sep 1, 2026	LRCX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$425.00
Sep 1, 2026	KLAC	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$200.00
Sep 1, 2026	AMAT	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$695.00
Aug 28, 2026	NVDA	Rated: Buy	Buy	$300.00
Aug 28, 2026	MRVL	Rated: Buy	Buy	$310.00
Aug 26, 2026	SMTC	Rated: Buy	Buy	$230.00
Aug 25, 2026	AVGO	Rated: Buy	Buy	$470.00
Aug 20, 2026	MRVL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$310.00
Aug 20, 2026	ADI	Rated: Buy	Buy	$490.00
Aug 19, 2026	CBRS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$330.00
Aug 18, 2026	MU	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$1625.00

Sep 4, 2026
Stock
AVGO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$470.00
Sep 1, 2026
Stock
LRCX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$425.00
Sep 1, 2026
Stock
KLAC
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$200.00
Sep 1, 2026
Stock
AMAT
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$695.00
Aug 28, 2026
Stock
NVDA
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$300.00
Aug 28, 2026
Stock
MRVL
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$310.00
Aug 26, 2026
Stock
SMTC
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$230.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
AVGO
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$470.00
Aug 20, 2026
Stock
MRVL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$310.00
Aug 20, 2026
Stock
ADI
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$490.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
CBRS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$330.00
Aug 18, 2026
Stock
MU
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$1625.00

Live ratings from Timothy Arcuri and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 12, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Stocks Radar shows Timothy Arcuri’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

See this week’s Gems

Exent is our product. Educational content, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Timothy Arcuri ranks #3 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 66.7% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 70.9% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Timothy Arcuri’s success rate is 78.2% by the ranking source and 66.7% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 61 days to reach a target.

Timothy Arcuri (UBS) covers 31 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are MU, NVDA, AVGO, AMAT, AMD.

: .-++++=: .-=+**+-. .:=+*#*=:..::-+##*+-:. .-+**+++=:. .:::-=+**********++===++***+++*###*+=--:. .:==+*#*+-:..::-+##*+-:. :=**++=: .-=+**+-. .:=+*#*-...: . -++*+=: .:=+**+-. .:-+*#*=:..::=+##*=-:...:=***++=:. .:-=+*###*++==--:::::::...:---==+*##**++=-. .:-=+###*=-:...-+**++=: :=++*+-. :-=***=:..:-=*##+-..: :=+*++-. :=++*+=. :-=*#*+-..::=+##*=-:...-+*#*+=-. :-=+*###*+=--:. .... .::..:-=+++****=-:..::-=*#*+=-: .-=++++=. .-=+**+-...:=+##*=:.::-+##*=::. .-++++=: .-=+**=: .-=+*#+-...:-+##*=-::.:-+##*+=:. .-=++***+=-:::.. ..:-----:::::::. .:-=+*###*=-:.. :=+**++-. .-=+**+-. .:-+*##+:..:-=*##+-:..:=*#*+-:. :=+*++-. :=+**+-. .:=+*#*-...:-+*##+-:.::-+##*=-:. :=++**++-:...::::-==+++++****++===-:....:::-+*#*+==:. .-=+**+-. .:-=*##+-:.::-+##*=::.:-+##*=-:..-+#*+=:. .-++++=: .-++**=: :-=***=:..:-=*##+-:.::-+##*=-:...:=***++-: .:-==*###**+**####*******+=-::...:-+**++=-. :-=+##*-:..:-+###+-:..:=*#*+-:..:=*#*=-: :=**+=-. :=++++-. :=+**+-. .-=+**+-...-=+##*-:.::-+##*=-:...-+***+=-. .:-=+*####*+==========++*###*+=-:. .-=+***+-...:-=*##+-::.:-*##+=-:..-+#*+=-. .-+**+=: .-++++=: :=+*+=: .-=+**=: :-+***=: .:-+*#*=:..:-+###+-::.:-+##*=-:. .-=++****+---::. .::::--+****++=-. .:-+*##+-::.:-+##*=-:..:=*#*+-: .=**++-. :=+*++-. :=+**+: -++*+=. :=+**+-. .-=+**+-..:-=*##+-..:-=*##+-::.:-+##*=-:. :=+++*++-:...:.. ...:.. .:-=+**#*=:..::-+##*+-:...-+#*+=-. -+**+=: .-++*+=: .-++*+=. :=+**+- =+**+- .-=+**=: :-=*#*=:..:-+*#*=:.::-+##*=::.:-+##*=-:. .-+**++=-: .::---====---:. .::-=*##*=-:...-+##+=-: :=+*++-. .=++++-. :=+**+-. .-=+**+: .:-=*#*= =+**=: :-=***=. .:=+*#+-..:-=*##+-..:-=*##+-:.::=*##+-:...-+**++=:. .:-==+*###*+++++=-:..:::=*##*=-:. .-+**+=: -=+*+=: .-=+**=: :-=*#*=. .:=+*#+-..:-=*##+ =+**=. .:=+**+-. .-=*##+:..:-+*#*=:.::-+##*-::::=*##+=::..-+##*=-: :-=++*###**+++*###*=-::. .-+**+=-. :=++*+=. :-+**+-. .:=+*#+-..:-=*##+:..:-+##*=:.::=*##+ +**+-. .-=+**+:..:-+*#*=:..:=+##+-:.:-=*##+-:.:-+##*=-:..:+*#*=-:. .:=++***+=------=+*##*+=-. .-++*+=: .-=+**+: .-=*#*=:..:-+*#*=:.::=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:-*##+ +**+-. :-=*#*=:..:-+##*-..:-=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:-*##+-:..:=*#*+-:. .-+**++=-:. ..:...:-=+*++=-. :-+***=. .:-+*#*-...:=+##+-..:-=*#*=::::-+##+-::.:=*#*=-:..-+##+ +*#+:..:-+*#*=:..:=*##+-:.:-+##*=::::-*##+-:..:=*#*=-:..:+##+=-. .:+**++-: .::::. :-++**+:. .-=+##+:..:-=*#*=:..:-+##*-::::=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:=*#*+-:..:+##+ *##+:..:-+##*-:.::=*##+-:::-+##*=::.:=*##+-:..-+##*=-...-*#*+-:. .=***+-: :-====-: .:-+*#*=:..:-+##*-:.::=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:=*##+-:..:+##+=-...-*#*+-:. :+**+ *##=:..:-+##*-:.::=*##=-:.:-+##+-:..:=*#*=-:..-+##+=:. :=*#*=-: :+**+=:. .-=++**#*+-..:-=*##+-:.:-+##*=::.:=*##+-:..:+##*=-:..-*#*+-:..:+**+=-. .-***+-: :=**+ *##=::::-+##+-::::=##*=-:.:-*##+-:..:=##*=-:..-+#*+-:. :=**+=-. .-+**+=: :=+*+++##*=::::=*##+-:.::+##*=-:.:-*##+-:..:+##*=-...-*#*+-: :=**+=-. .-+*++-. :=+*+ ##*=::.:-*##+-:..:=##*=-:..-*#*+-:..:=*#+=-. .-+**+-: :=**+=-. .-+*++=. :=++++*##*=::.:=*##+-:..:+##*=-:..-*#*+-:..:+**+=-. .-***+-: :=**+=: .-+*++-. :=+++ ##*=-:..-*##+-:..:=*#*=-...-+#*+-:. :=**+=-. .-+**+=: .=+*+=-. -=+*+=: .-=+*###*=-:..:=*#*=-:..-+##+=:...=*#*=-: :+**+=:. .-+*++-. :=**+=: .-++++-. :=+** ##*=-:..-+#*+-:. :=**+=-. .-+**+=: .=**+=-. :++++=: .-++*+-. :=+**+-. .:--=++=-:::.:-*##+=:...-*#*+-:. :=**+=-. -+**+=: .=+*+=-. :=+++=: .-++*+-. .-=+** *#*=-: .-+**+=:. .=**+=-. :+**+=: .-++++-. :=+**+: .-=+**=: :-=+##+-:...........::-+##*=-:..:=*#*=-. :+**+=:. .-+*++-. :=+*+=- .-++*+=. :=+**+- .-=+** ***=-. :+**+=: .-+*++-. :=+++=: .-=+*+=. :-+**+-. .:=+*#*-:..:-+*##*=--:. .:--=*##*=-:...-*#*+=:. .-+**+-: .=+*+=-. :=+*+=: .-++*+-. :=+**+: :-=*** +*++-. :=+*+=: .-++*+=. :=+**+-. .:=+**+: :-=*#*+:..:-=*##+-::.:-=*##*+==------==+*##*=-:...-+##+=-. :+**+=-. :++*+=: .-++*+=. :=+**+-. .-=+**=: .:-+*#* ++++=: :=++*+-. .:=+**=: .-=***=. .:-+*#*-...:=+##*=::::-+##*+-:.. .-++++**##***++**#*+-::..:-+##*=-:. .=***+=: .-+*++-. :=++*+-. .-=+**+: :-=*#*=. .:=+##+ =+*+=: .-++**=. .:=+**+-. .-=+##+-..:-=*##+-:.:-=*##+-:...-+##*+=:. .:-==+*###**++++=-:..:::=*##*=-:. .-+**+=:. :=+*+=: .-=+**=: .-=***=. .:=+*#+-..:-=*##+ =+**+-. .-=+**=:..:-+*#*=:..:-+##*=:.::-+##*=::..-+##*=-:. .-++*+++-: .::::--====--:. .::-+*##*=-:. .-+**+=-. :=+*++-. :=++*+-. .:=+**+-. .-=+##+:..:-+*#*= -+*#*=...:=+##+-..:-=*##+-:.:-=###+-:..:=*#*+-:. .-+**+=-. .:=++*#*+-:::.. .::.. .:--=+###*=-:...-+**+=-: .-+*++=: .-=+**=: .-=+**=: .:-+*#*=:..:=+##*- -=*##=:..:-+##*=::::-+##*=::..-*##+=-. .-+**+=-. .-++**+-. .:-=*###*+=--:.....:::..:--=++*##*+-::..:-+##*=-: .-+**+=-. :=+**+-. .:=+*#+-...-=+##+-..:-=*##+- :=*##+-::::=*##+-:..:=*#*=-:. :=***+-: .-++++=-. :-=+*#*=:..:::-=****++*+++======++********=-:..::-=*##*=-:. .-+**++-. .-++**=: :-=***=:..:-=*#*=:..:-+##*=: :-+##*=-:..-+##+=-. .-+**+=:. :++*++-. :-++**+-. .:-=*##*+--:. .:==++*####**++*####**++==:. .:--+###*=-:. .-+**++-: .-=+**+: .-=+*#+-...-=+##+-..:-=*##+-: .:=*#*=-:. :=**+=-: :=+*++-. .-=+**+:. .:-+*##+-:::::=+##*+=-:. .:--==+**++++****+==--: :--=*###+=-:...-+**++-: .-=+**+-. :-+***=:..:-+*#*=:..:-+##*=:: .-+**+=:. .-+**+=: .-=+**+-. .:-+*#*+:..::-+###+=-:. .:=+***++=-:........::-----::::::.. :-==+*##*=-::..:=*#*+=-: .:=++++-. :-=+**+:..:-=*##+-..:-=*##+-:: :=+*++-. :=++*+=. :-=***+-..::=+##*=-::.:-+*#*+=-: :-=+*###*+=--:. ..:. .:::::-=+++****=-:..::-=*##+=-:. .-=+*++=: .-=+**+-. .:=+##*=:.::-+##*=::. .-=+**=: .-=+**+-...:-+##*=-::::=*##*=-:. .:=+*+++=:. .::-=+*##**++==--::::::...::---=+**#**+++=:. ..:-=+###+=-:. .-+**++=: .-=+**+-. .:-+*#*=:..:-=*##+-::: . :-+***=:..:-=*##+-:.::=*##*=-:..:-+**+=-: :-=+*#*+=:::...:-=++++*###**++=+++++++++**###*+==-:. .:-=+*##*+-::...-+**++-: .:=+**+=. :-=*##+-..::=*##*-::.:

Get the picks Wall Street’s best analysts agree on.

Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.

See this week’s GemsLimited offer$1.95 for full Gems access· full Gems access

Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

Key takeaways

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained