Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
How often Mehmet Sevim’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 0 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.
Mehmet Sevim of J.P. Morgan ranks #69 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on financials. Over a 7‑year lookback, — of Mehmet’s price targets were reached, the 52.4% average across all analysts.
| Metric | Mehmet Sevim | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | — | 52.4% |
| Median days to hit target | — | 91 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | — | 64.0% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | — | +13.4% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | — | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | — | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 0 | — |
| Stocks covered | 13 | — |
| Time to reach the target | Mehmet Sevim |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | — |
| 30–90 days | — |
| 90–180 days | — |
| Over 180 days | — |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
| Stock | Ratings in the sample |
|---|---|
| FRA-NAGF | 50 |
| OTC-APHBF | 40 |
| OTC-EBKOF | 40 |
| ETR-0B2 | 40 |
| FRA-1X8 | 38 |
| FRA-5ZT | 36 |
| WSE-PKO | 25 |
| WSE-EBP | 21 |
In the past year Mehmet’s ratings were 74% Buy, 26% Hold and 0% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | WSE-PKO | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $121.00 |
| May 7, 2026 | FRA-1X8 | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $4.40 |
| May 7, 2026 | FRA-1X8 | Maintained | Buy | $4.40 |
| May 6, 2026 | FRA-NAGF | Maintained | Buy | $16.00 |
| May 6, 2026 | FRA-NAGF | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $16.00 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | WSE-PKO | Maintained | Buy | $114.00 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | WSE-PKO | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $114.00 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | WSE-PKO | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $114.00 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | WSE-EBP | Maintained: Hold | Hold | $633.00 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | WSE-EBP | Reiterated: Hold | Hold | $633.00 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | WSE-PKO | Maintained: Buy | Buy | $96.00 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | WSE-PKO | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $96.00 |
Live ratings from Mehmet Sevim and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 16, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring Mehmet Sevim ranks #69 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. — of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and — of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Mehmet Sevim’s success rate is 88.7% by the ranking source and — by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of — days to reach a target.
Mehmet Sevim (J.P. Morgan) covers 13 stocks, mostly in financials. The most frequently rated are FRA-NAGF, OTC-APHBF, OTC-EBKOF, ETR-0B2, FRA-1X8.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.