AnalystsInsight

Josh Sullivan (JonesTrading): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Josh Sullivan’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 592 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 14, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Josh Sullivan ranks #29 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
69.4% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 107 days; 74.8% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: KTOS, FTAI, CRS, ACHR.

In this article

Josh Sullivan’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Josh Sullivan covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Josh Sullivan’s track record at a glance

Josh Sullivan of JonesTrading ranks #29 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on industrials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 69.4% of Josh’s price targets were reached, 17.0 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Josh Sullivan	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	69.4%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	107 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	74.8%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+34.6%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	78.5%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−20.0%	—
Ratings in the sample	592	—
Stocks covered	35	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Josh Sullivan
Under 30 days	17.1%
30–90 days	26.5%
90–180 days	28.2%
Over 180 days	28.2%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Josh Sullivan covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
KTOS	46
FTAI	42
CRS	33
ACHR	25
AIR	23
VSEC	23
BKSY	20
PSN	18

In the past year Josh’s ratings were 100% Buy, 0% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Jul 15, 2026	LTRX	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$12.00
Jul 10, 2026	MRAM	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$38.00
Jul 10, 2026	AMPX	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$30.00
Jul 9, 2026	FTK	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$40.00
Apr 27, 2026	KOPN	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$6.00
Apr 27, 2026	KOPN	Initiated Coverage	Buy	$6.00
Feb 23, 2026	HOVR	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$18.00
Feb 23, 2026	HOVR	Initiated Coverage	Buy	$18.00
Jan 23, 2026	VTOL	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$60.00
Jan 23, 2026	VTOL	Initiated Coverage	Buy	$60.00
Jan 5, 2026	KTOS	Initiated Coverage	Buy	$150.00
Jan 5, 2026	KTOS	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$150.00

Jul 15, 2026
Stock
LTRX
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$12.00
Jul 10, 2026
Stock
MRAM
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$38.00
Jul 10, 2026
Stock
AMPX
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$30.00
Jul 9, 2026
Stock
FTK
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$40.00
Apr 27, 2026
Stock
KOPN
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$6.00
Apr 27, 2026
Stock
KOPN
Action
Initiated Coverage
Rating
Buy
Price target
$6.00
Feb 23, 2026
Stock
HOVR
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$18.00
Feb 23, 2026
Stock
HOVR
Action
Initiated Coverage
Rating
Buy
Price target
$18.00
Jan 23, 2026
Stock
VTOL
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$60.00
Jan 23, 2026
Stock
VTOL
Action
Initiated Coverage
Rating
Buy
Price target
$60.00
Jan 5, 2026
Stock
KTOS
Action
Initiated Coverage
Rating
Buy
Price target
$150.00
Jan 5, 2026
Stock
KTOS
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$150.00

Live ratings from Josh Sullivan and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 14, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

Exent Stocks Radar shows Josh Sullivan’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Josh Sullivan ranks #29 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 69.4% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 74.8% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Josh Sullivan’s success rate is 69.5% by the ranking source and 69.4% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 107 days to reach a target.

Josh Sullivan (JonesTrading) covers 35 stocks, mostly in industrials. The most frequently rated are KTOS, FTAI, CRS, ACHR, AIR.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

Key takeaways

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