AnalystsInsight

Rick Schafer (Oppenheimer): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Rick Schafer’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,355 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

David, Senior AnalystUpdated Oct 13, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Rick Schafer ranks #22 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (5.0★).
61.5% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 93 days; 73.6% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: MRVL, NVDA, AVGO, SMTC.

In this article

Rick Schafer’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Rick Schafer covers most
Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)
How Exent scores analysts

Rick Schafer’s track record at a glance

Rick Schafer of Oppenheimer ranks #22 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 5.0★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 61.5% of Rick’s price targets were reached, 9.1 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Rick Schafer	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	61.5%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	93 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	73.6%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+28.3%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	69.3%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−17.7%	—
Ratings in the sample	1,355	—
Stocks covered	16	—

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Rick Schafer
Under 30 days	23.2%
30–90 days	25.7%
90–180 days	25.4%
Over 180 days	25.7%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Rick Schafer covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
MRVL	46
NVDA	41
AVGO	36
SMTC	34
MPWR	33
NXPI	30
ADI	28
AMD	26

In the past year Rick’s ratings were 71% Buy, 29% Hold and 0% Sell.

Recent ratings (shown with a 30-day delay)

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Aug 28, 2026	MRVL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$325.00
Aug 27, 2026	AVGO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$535.00
Aug 27, 2026	NVDA	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$315.00
Aug 26, 2026	SMTC	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$200.00
Aug 21, 2026	MRVL	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$300.00
Aug 20, 2026	ADI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$450.00
Aug 20, 2026	NVDA	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$265.00
Aug 19, 2026	AVGO	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$0.00
Aug 19, 2026	SMTC	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$200.00
Aug 14, 2026	SMTC	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$200.00
Aug 13, 2026	VLN	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$4.00
Aug 10, 2026	ADI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$450.00

Aug 28, 2026
Stock
MRVL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$325.00
Aug 27, 2026
Stock
AVGO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$535.00
Aug 27, 2026
Stock
NVDA
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$315.00
Aug 26, 2026
Stock
SMTC
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$200.00
Aug 21, 2026
Stock
MRVL
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$300.00
Aug 20, 2026
Stock
ADI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$450.00
Aug 20, 2026
Stock
NVDA
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$265.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
AVGO
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00
Aug 19, 2026
Stock
SMTC
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$200.00
Aug 14, 2026
Stock
SMTC
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$200.00
Aug 13, 2026
Stock
VLN
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$4.00
Aug 10, 2026
Stock
ADI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$450.00

Live ratings from Rick Schafer and the other top‑ranked analysts, and the stocks where they agree, are in Exent Stocks Radar.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 13, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Stocks Radar shows Rick Schafer’s live ratings and those of the other top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Rick Schafer ranks #22 of 1,000 with a 5.0★ rating. 61.5% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 73.6% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Rick Schafer’s success rate is 74.8% by the ranking source and 61.5% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 93 days to reach a target.

Rick Schafer (Oppenheimer) covers 16 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are MRVL, NVDA, AVGO, SMTC, MPWR.

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