AnalystsInsight

David Coleman (Argus Research): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often David Coleman’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 137 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 21, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

David Coleman ranks #918 of 1,121 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.6★).
42.1% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 53.6% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 178 days; 62.1% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: AA, NUE, PKG, HOG.
Free on Exent: David Coleman’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

David Coleman’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks David Coleman covers most
David Coleman’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

David Coleman’s track record at a glance

David Coleman of Argus Research ranks #918 of the 1,121 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.6★ rating and a focus on materials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 42.1% of David’s price targets were reached, 11.5 points below the 53.6% average across all analysts.

Metric	David Coleman	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	42.1%	53.6%
Median days to hit target	178 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	62.1%	64.6%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+7.8%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	0.0%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−18.8%	—
Ratings in the sample	137	—
Stocks covered	38	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	David Coleman
Under 30 days	6.7%
30–90 days	17.8%
90–180 days	26.7%
Over 180 days	48.9%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks David Coleman covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
AA	13
NUE	12
PKG	12
HOG	12
VMC	11
GT	9
THRM	8
SON	8

David Coleman’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Apr 28, 2025	EFX	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Feb 28, 2025	SPH	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$22.00
Feb 18, 2025	GT	Upgraded: Buy	Buy	$0.00
Feb 11, 2025	EFX	Downgraded: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Oct 31, 2024	WM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$240.00
Jun 12, 2024	THO	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00
May 9, 2024	CMS	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$70.00
Apr 25, 2024	FCX	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$54.00
Apr 22, 2024	MAN	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Mar 5, 2024	PM	Downgraded: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Feb 27, 2024	WM	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$230.00
Feb 26, 2024	IP	Downgraded: Hold	Hold	$0.00

Apr 28, 2025
Stock
EFX
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Feb 28, 2025
Stock
SPH
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$22.00
Feb 18, 2025
Stock
GT
Action
Upgraded: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$0.00
Feb 11, 2025
Stock
EFX
Action
Downgraded: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Oct 31, 2024
Stock
WM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$240.00
Jun 12, 2024
Stock
THO
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
May 9, 2024
Stock
CMS
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$70.00
Apr 25, 2024
Stock
FCX
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$54.00
Apr 22, 2024
Stock
MAN
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Mar 5, 2024
Stock
PM
Action
Downgraded: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Feb 27, 2024
Stock
WM
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$230.00
Feb 26, 2024
Stock
IP
Action
Downgraded: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00

David’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Oct 20, 2026; ranking updated Oct 21, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows David Coleman’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring David Coleman ranks #918 of 1,121 with a 4.6★ rating. 42.1% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 53.6%), and 62.1% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

David Coleman’s success rate is 61.5% by the ranking source and 42.1% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 178 days to reach a target.

David Coleman (Argus Research) covers 38 stocks, mostly in materials. The most frequently rated are AA, NUE, PKG, HOG, VMC.

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DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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