Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data
How often Wall Street price targets are reached, how long it takes, and how the promised upside compares with what stocks actually did. From Exent’s backtest of 628,792 analyst ratings.
How often Siddharth Rajeev’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 120 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.
Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.
Siddharth Rajeev of Fundamental Research ranks #806 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.6★ rating and a focus on materials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 55.6% of Siddharth’s price targets were reached, 3.2 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.
| Metric | Siddharth Rajeev | All analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Price‑target hit rate | 55.6% | 52.4% |
| Median days to hit target | 57 days | 91 days |
| Calls up after 12 months | 50.9% | 64.0% |
| Median 12‑month return of calls | +2.7% | +13.4% |
| Hit rate, last 2 years | 70.0% | — |
| Average worst drop after a call | −32.8% | — |
| Ratings in the sample | 120 | — |
| Stocks covered | 191 | — |
The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.
| Time to reach the target | Siddharth Rajeev |
|---|---|
| Under 30 days | 28.0% |
| 30–90 days | 36.0% |
| 90–180 days | 12.0% |
| Over 180 days | 24.0% |
Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.
| Stock | Ratings in the sample |
|---|---|
| TSX-E | 22 |
| TSXV-BCF | 20 |
| TSX-OLY | 20 |
| TSX-AI | 19 |
| TSXV-KDOZ | 18 |
| TSXV-AGX | 18 |
| TSXV-MMY | 18 |
| TSXV-SYH | 17 |
In the past year Siddharth’s ratings were 100% Buy, 0% Hold and 0% Sell.
| Date | Stock | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | TSXV-BCF | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $10.80 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | GDTC | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $4.16 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | CSE-AIDR | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $1.26 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | TSXV-BCF | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $10.80 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | OTC-COBA | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $4.52 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | TSXV-KDOZ | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $0.68 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | TSX-OLY | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $166.48 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | TSX-E | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $2.60 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | TSX-E | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $2.60 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASX-FLG | Initiated Coverage: Buy | Buy | $1.03 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSX-OLY | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $166.48 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | TSXV-AGX | Reiterated: Buy | Buy | $1.65 |
Siddharth’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.
Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
By Exent’s scoring Siddharth Rajeev ranks #806 of 1,000 with a 4.6★ rating. 55.6% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 50.9% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.
Siddharth Rajeev’s success rate is 40.5% by the ranking source and 55.6% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 57 days to reach a target.
Siddharth Rajeev (Fundamental Research) covers 191 stocks, mostly in materials. The most frequently rated are TSX-E, TSXV-BCF, TSX-OLY, TSX-AI, TSXV-KDOZ.
Exent tracks 4,000+ analysts, keeps only the elite few with proven records, and surfaces the Gems where they agree.
Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.