AnalystsInsight

Alexander Pearce (BMO Capital): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Alexander Pearce’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 34 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 12, 20263 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

Alexander Pearce ranks #869 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.6★).
18.2% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 29 days; 40.0% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: LON-ATYM, TSX-CCO, ASX-CIA, ASX-S32.
Free on Exent: Alexander Pearce’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

Alexander Pearce’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Alexander Pearce covers most
Alexander Pearce’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Alexander Pearce’s track record at a glance

Alexander Pearce of BMO Capital ranks #869 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.6★ rating and a focus on materials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 18.2% of Alexander’s price targets were reached, 34.2 points below the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Alexander Pearce	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	18.2%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	29 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	40.0%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	−7.2%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	40.0%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−17.4%	—
Ratings in the sample	34	—
Stocks covered	25	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Alexander Pearce
Under 30 days	50.0%
30–90 days	50.0%
90–180 days	0.0%
Over 180 days	0.0%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Alexander Pearce covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
LON-ATYM	58
TSX-CCO	40
ASX-CIA	39
ASX-S32	30
AIM-CAML	27
TSX-LIF	24
LON-RIO	24
ASX-BHP	23

In the past year Alexander’s ratings were 62% Buy, 38% Hold and 0% Sell.

Alexander Pearce’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Jul 22, 2026	VALE	Rated: Buy	Buy	$19.00
Jul 14, 2026	TSX-LIF	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$29.00
Jul 14, 2026	ASX-FMG	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$20.00
Jul 14, 2026	ASX-CIA	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$4.28
Jul 9, 2026	LON-KAP	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$90.00
Jun 8, 2026	ASX-CIA	Downgraded	Buy → Hold	$4.57
Jun 8, 2026	ASX-CIA	Downgraded: Hold	Hold	$4.53
Apr 13, 2026	UEC	Maintained	Hold	—
Apr 13, 2026	VALE	Maintained	Buy	$18.00
Apr 13, 2026	UEC	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Apr 13, 2026	UEC	Maintained: Hold	Hold	$0.00
Apr 13, 2026	VALE	Maintained: Buy	Buy	$18.00

Jul 22, 2026
Stock
VALE
Action
Rated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$19.00
Jul 14, 2026
Stock
TSX-LIF
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$29.00
Jul 14, 2026
Stock
ASX-FMG
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$20.00
Jul 14, 2026
Stock
ASX-CIA
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$4.28
Jul 9, 2026
Stock
LON-KAP
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$90.00
Jun 8, 2026
Stock
ASX-CIA
Action
Downgraded
Rating
Buy → Hold
Price target
$4.57
Jun 8, 2026
Stock
ASX-CIA
Action
Downgraded: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$4.53
Apr 13, 2026
Stock
UEC
Action
Maintained
Rating
Hold
Price target
—
Apr 13, 2026
Stock
VALE
Action
Maintained
Rating
Buy
Price target
$18.00
Apr 13, 2026
Stock
UEC
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Apr 13, 2026
Stock
UEC
Action
Maintained: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$0.00
Apr 13, 2026
Stock
VALE
Action
Maintained: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$18.00

Alexander’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Alexander Pearce’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Alexander Pearce ranks #869 of 1,000 with a 4.6★ rating. 18.2% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 40.0% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Alexander Pearce’s success rate is 58.4% by the ranking source and 18.2% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 29 days to reach a target.

Alexander Pearce (BMO Capital) covers 25 stocks, mostly in materials. The most frequently rated are LON-ATYM, TSX-CCO, ASX-CIA, ASX-S32, AIM-CAML.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.

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