AnalystsInsight

Michael Donovan (Compass Point): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Michael Donovan’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 41 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Published Updated 3 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

#4514 rank (was #3217)0.2★ rating (was 2.1★)

Key takeaways

  • Michael Donovan ranks #999 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (0.2★).
  • 68.3% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
  • Median time to reach a target: 126 days; — of calls were up 12 months later.
  • Most‑covered stocks: WULF, APLD, CIFR, RIOT.
  • Free on Exent: Michael Donovan’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

Michael Donovan’s track record at a glance

Michael Donovan of Compass Point ranks #999 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 0.2★ rating and a focus on technology. Over a 7‑year lookback, 68.3% of Michael’s price targets were reached, 15.9 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

MetricMichael DonovanAll analysts
Price‑target hit rate68.3%52.4%
Median days to hit target126 days91 days
Calls up after 12 months—64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls—+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years68.3%—
Average worst drop after a call−30.5%—
Ratings in the sample41—
Stocks covered13—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the targetMichael Donovan
Under 30 days28.6%
30–90 days7.1%
90–180 days35.7%
Over 180 days28.6%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Michael Donovan covers most

StockRatings in the sample
WULF9
APLD7
CIFR7
RIOT6
MARA5
IREN4
CORZ3
GRRR2

In the past year Michael’s ratings were 92% Buy, 8% Hold and 0% Sell.

Michael Donovan’s latest ratings

DateStockActionRatingPrice target
Aug 19, 2026GRRRInitiated: BuyBuy$44.00
Aug 18, 2026GRRRInitiated Coverage: BuyBuy$44.00
Jul 29, 2026CORZReiterated: BuyBuy$36.00
May 22, 2026APLDReiterated: BuyBuy$70.00
Apr 22, 2026SHAZInitiated CoverageBuy$50.00
Apr 22, 2026SHAZInitiated Coverage: BuyBuy$50.00
Feb 18, 2026NBISInitiated CoverageBuy$150.00
Feb 18, 2026NBISInitiated Coverage: BuyBuy$150.00
Dec 24, 2025CIFRReiterated: BuyBuy$28.00
Dec 24, 2025CIFRMaintainedBuy$28.00
Dec 24, 2025CIFRMaintained: BuyBuy$28.00
Dec 16, 2025WYFIInitiated Coverage: BuyBuy$32.00
  • Aug 19, 2026
    Stock
    GRRR
    Action
    Initiated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $44.00
  • Aug 18, 2026
    Stock
    GRRR
    Action
    Initiated Coverage: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $44.00
  • Jul 29, 2026
    Stock
    CORZ
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $36.00
  • May 22, 2026
    Stock
    APLD
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $70.00
  • Apr 22, 2026
    Stock
    SHAZ
    Action
    Initiated Coverage
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $50.00
  • Apr 22, 2026
    Stock
    SHAZ
    Action
    Initiated Coverage: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $50.00
  • Feb 18, 2026
    Stock
    NBIS
    Action
    Initiated Coverage
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $150.00
  • Feb 18, 2026
    Stock
    NBIS
    Action
    Initiated Coverage: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $150.00
  • Dec 24, 2025
    Stock
    CIFR
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $28.00
  • Dec 24, 2025
    Stock
    CIFR
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $28.00
  • Dec 24, 2025
    Stock
    CIFR
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $28.00
  • Dec 16, 2025
    Stock
    WYFI
    Action
    Initiated Coverage: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $32.00

Michael’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

  1. Exent Gems shows Michael Donovan’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
  2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Michael Donovan ranks #999 of 1,000 with a 0.2★ rating. 68.3% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and — of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Michael Donovan’s success rate is 10.0% by the ranking source and 68.3% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 126 days to reach a target.

Michael Donovan (Compass Point) covers 13 stocks, mostly in technology. The most frequently rated are WULF, APLD, CIFR, RIOT, MARA.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.