AnalystsInsight

John Barnidge (Piper Sandler): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often John Barnidge’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 1,335 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Published Updated 3 min readHow we research

Key takeaways

  • John Barnidge ranks #643 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.7★).
  • 55.6% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
  • Median time to reach a target: 111 days; 67.2% of calls were up 12 months later.
  • Most‑covered stocks: PFG, RGA, PRU, FG.
  • Free on Exent: John Barnidge’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

John Barnidge’s track record at a glance

John Barnidge of Piper Sandler ranks #643 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.7★ rating and a focus on financials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 55.6% of John’s price targets were reached, 3.2 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

MetricJohn BarnidgeAll analysts
Price‑target hit rate55.6%52.4%
Median days to hit target111 days91 days
Calls up after 12 months67.2%64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls+10.3%+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years51.1%—
Average worst drop after a call−15.8%—
Ratings in the sample1,335—
Stocks covered26—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the targetJohn Barnidge
Under 30 days15.5%
30–90 days25.6%
90–180 days28.7%
Over 180 days30.2%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks John Barnidge covers most

StockRatings in the sample
PFG27
RGA26
PRU24
FG24
GL22
LMND18
BHF18
TRUP18

In the past year John’s ratings were 56% Buy, 42% Hold and 1% Sell.

John Barnidge’s latest ratings

DateStockActionRatingPrice target
Jun 24, 2026METMaintained: HoldHold$90.00
Jun 24, 2026PFGMaintained: BuyBuy$125.00
Jun 24, 2026PRUMaintained: HoldHold$110.00
May 11, 2026PRURatedHold$105.00
May 11, 2026PRURated: HoldHold$105.00
May 11, 2026RGARated: BuyBuy$261.00
May 11, 2026RGARatedBuy$261.00
Apr 2, 2026PFGMaintained: BuyBuy$103.00
Apr 2, 2026PFGMaintainedBuy$103.00
Mar 23, 2026LMNDMaintainedHold$65.00
Mar 6, 2026UNMMaintainedBuy—
Mar 6, 2026UNMReiterated: BuyBuy$0.00
  • Jun 24, 2026
    Stock
    MET
    Action
    Maintained: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $90.00
  • Jun 24, 2026
    Stock
    PFG
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $125.00
  • Jun 24, 2026
    Stock
    PRU
    Action
    Maintained: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $110.00
  • May 11, 2026
    Stock
    PRU
    Action
    Rated
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $105.00
  • May 11, 2026
    Stock
    PRU
    Action
    Rated: Hold
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $105.00
  • May 11, 2026
    Stock
    RGA
    Action
    Rated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $261.00
  • May 11, 2026
    Stock
    RGA
    Action
    Rated
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $261.00
  • Apr 2, 2026
    Stock
    PFG
    Action
    Maintained: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $103.00
  • Apr 2, 2026
    Stock
    PFG
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $103.00
  • Mar 23, 2026
    Stock
    LMND
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Hold
    Price target
    $65.00
  • Mar 6, 2026
    Stock
    UNM
    Action
    Maintained
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    —
  • Mar 6, 2026
    Stock
    UNM
    Action
    Reiterated: Buy
    Rating
    Buy
    Price target
    $0.00

John’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Follow the analysts with the best records

  1. Exent Gems shows John Barnidge’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
  2. Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
  3. Check any idea against your own portfolio: correlation, concentration and crash exposure before you buy.

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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring John Barnidge ranks #643 of 1,000 with a 4.7★ rating. 55.6% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 67.2% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

John Barnidge’s success rate is 62.1% by the ranking source and 55.6% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 111 days to reach a target.

John Barnidge (Piper Sandler) covers 26 stocks, mostly in financials. The most frequently rated are PFG, RGA, PRU, FG, GL.

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Educational content, not investment advice. Examples are illustrative; past performance does not guarantee future results.

DISCLAIMER: Exent AI is an informational research platform and does not provide investment advice, financial advice, or act as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content, analytics, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Exent AI does not execute trades, hold customer funds, or provide brokerage services. Past performance and hypothetical results are not indicative of future results. Third-party data and AI-generated outputs may be incomplete or inaccurate.