AnalystsInsight

Garik Shmois (D.A. Davidson): Analyst Track Record and Price‑Target Accuracy

How often Garik Shmois’s price targets were reached, how fast, and what the stocks did after each call: a 7‑year backtest of 660 ratings, compared with the average Wall Street analyst.

Reviewed by:David, Senior AnalystPublished Oct 12, 2026Updated Oct 18, 20263 min readHow we research

What changed since Oct 12

Exent re-checks this page every day. Ratings appear 30 days after they are published; live calls are in Gems.

+2 new ratings (VMC, EXP)

Key takeaways

Garik Shmois ranks #660 of 1,000 analysts in Exent’s scoring (4.7★).
65.0% of price targets were reached over 7 years, versus 52.4% for the average analyst.
Median time to reach a target: 110 days; 52.8% of calls were up 12 months later.
Most‑covered stocks: MBC, CSL, MLM, EXP.
Free on Exent: Garik Shmois’s full record, with ratings 3 days after publication.

In this article

Garik Shmois’s track record at a glance
How fast price targets were reached
Stocks Garik Shmois covers most
Garik Shmois’s latest ratings
How Exent scores analysts

Garik Shmois’s track record at a glance

Garik Shmois of D.A. Davidson ranks #660 of the 1,000 analysts Exent scores, with a 4.7★ rating and a focus on industrials. Over a 7‑year lookback, 65.0% of Garik’s price targets were reached, 12.6 points above the 52.4% average across all analysts.

Metric	Garik Shmois	All analysts
Price‑target hit rate	65.0%	52.4%
Median days to hit target	110 days	91 days
Calls up after 12 months	52.8%	64.0%
Median 12‑month return of calls	+3.3%	+13.4%
Hit rate, last 2 years	47.9%	—
Average worst drop after a call	−20.9%	—
Ratings in the sample	660	—
Stocks covered	20	—

The full records of Exent’s top 90 analysts and the top 50 of each sector, and the stocks where several of them agree right now, are members‑only in Exent Gems.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How fast price targets were reached

Time to reach the target	Garik Shmois
Under 30 days	17.4%
30–90 days	26.7%
90–180 days	30.3%
Over 180 days	25.6%

Share of the targets that were reached, by how long they took. Targets are usually set for 12 months.

Stocks Garik Shmois covers most

Stock	Ratings in the sample
MBC	35
CSL	35
MLM	33
EXP	32
OC	31
WMS	30
VMC	26
KNF	26

In the past year Garik’s ratings were 57% Buy, 43% Hold and 0% Sell.

Garik Shmois’s latest ratings

Date	Stock	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 18, 2026	VMC	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$330.00
Sep 15, 2026	EXP	Reiterated: Hold	Hold	$207.00
Sep 1, 2026	AWI	Reiterated: Buy	Buy	$215.00
Aug 25, 2026	SHW	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$400.00
Aug 25, 2026	MAS	Initiated Coverage: Hold	Hold	$80.00
Aug 25, 2026	QXO	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$26.00
Aug 25, 2026	EXP	Initiated Coverage: Hold	Hold	$220.00
Aug 25, 2026	KNF	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$85.00
Aug 25, 2026	CRH	Initiated Coverage: Buy	Buy	$137.00
Aug 25, 2026	MBC	Initiated Coverage: Hold	Hold	$10.00
Aug 25, 2026	MLM	Initiated Coverage: Hold	Hold	$625.00
Aug 25, 2026	CSL	Initiated Coverage: Hold	Hold	$410.00

Sep 18, 2026
Stock
VMC
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$330.00
Sep 15, 2026
Stock
EXP
Action
Reiterated: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$207.00
Sep 1, 2026
Stock
AWI
Action
Reiterated: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$215.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
SHW
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$400.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
MAS
Action
Initiated Coverage: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$80.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
QXO
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$26.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
EXP
Action
Initiated Coverage: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$220.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
KNF
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$85.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
CRH
Action
Initiated Coverage: Buy
Rating
Buy
Price target
$137.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
MBC
Action
Initiated Coverage: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$10.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
MLM
Action
Initiated Coverage: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$625.00
Aug 25, 2026
Stock
CSL
Action
Initiated Coverage: Hold
Rating
Hold
Price target
$410.00

Garik’s ratings are free on Exent 3 days after publication. Exent Gems has them the same day, with the calls of the top‑ranked analysts and the stocks where several of them agree.

See the top-ranked analysts in Gems

How Exent scores analysts

Exent replays every rating with a price target over a 7‑year lookback: was the target reached, how long it took, and what the stock returned 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the call. The star rating and rank combine success rate, average return and the number of ratings, so a few lucky calls do not make a top analyst. Statistics as of Jun 24, 2026; ranking updated Oct 20, 2026. How accurate are analyst price targets overall?

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Historical figures are calculated by Exent from market data and are for education only; they are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Exent Gems shows Garik Shmois’s live ratings and those of the top‑ranked analysts, without the 30‑day delay used on this page.
Gems are the stocks where several 4★+ analysts agree: Exent’s shortlist of high‑conviction ideas.
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Frequently asked questions

By Exent’s scoring Garik Shmois ranks #660 of 1,000 with a 4.7★ rating. 65.0% of price targets were reached over a 7-year lookback (all analysts: 52.4%), and 52.8% of calls were up 12 months later. Past accuracy does not guarantee future accuracy.

Garik Shmois’s success rate is 63.6% by the ranking source and 65.0% by Exent’s price-target hit-rate backtest, with a median of 110 days to reach a target.

Garik Shmois (D.A. Davidson) covers 20 stocks, mostly in industrials. The most frequently rated are MBC, CSL, MLM, EXP, OC.

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What changed since Oct 12

Key takeaways

Are Analyst Price Targets Accurate? 7 Years of Data

How to Follow Wall Street Analysts the Smart Way: Track Records, Not Headlines

What Are Exent Gems? Top‑Analyst Agreement Explained